
Volume
$355K
Txns
7,026
Traders
1,003
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out a military strike against the U.S. military, inclusive of all U.S. military ships, planes, bases and other infrastructure, between market creation and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Iranian missile, drone, or other strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market. Strikes on U.S. military unmanned aerial vehicles/projectiles and U.S. commercial/civilian ships will NOT count toward a "Yes" resolution. Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks on the U.S. military by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is official statements from the U.S. and Iranian governments, however a consensus of credible may also be used.
Trades
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 79%$0volume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin…
Yes 74%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti…
No 74%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet…
No 100%$0volume
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
No 100%$0volume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet…
No 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | Sebbee | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 5mo | 0fb15080c50ce5251cffa7fa08f2eb612bf725c3 | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 5mo | Dalresin | Yes / 0.1¢ | +4,000.00 | $4 | |
| 5mo | 0fb15080c50ce5251cffa7fa08f2eb612bf725c3 | No / 99.9¢ | +2,964.91 | $2.96K | |
| 5mo | Gaujmalietis | No / 99.9¢ | +855.57 | $855 | |
| 5mo | AuthenticDemigod | Yes / 0.1¢ | -179.52 | $0.18 | |
| 5mo | 0xd87f...71294d | No / 99.9¢ | -41.57 | $41.5 | |
| 5mo | Gaujmalietis | No / 99.9¢ | +41.57 | $41.5 | |
| 5mo | quantumtinsel | No / 99.9¢ | -68.78 | $68.7 | |
| 5mo | Gaujmalietis | No / 99.9¢ | +68.78 | $68.7 | |
| 5mo | Fenwu | No / 99.9¢ | -26.88 | $26.9 | |
| 5mo | Gaujmalietis | No / 99.9¢ | +26.88 | $26.9 | |
| 5mo | lighter-nls | No / 99.9¢ | -2.00 | $2 | |
| 5mo | Gaujmalietis | No / 99.9¢ | +2.00 | $2 | |
| 5mo | westgardeng | No / 99.9¢ | -5.20 | $5.19 | |
| 5mo | Gaujmalietis | No / 99.9¢ | +5.20 | $5.19 | |
| 5mo | 0xe827027553B528b8c2c388B655970EB64C825c14-1769266910817 | No / 99.8¢ | -338.71 | $338 | |
| 5mo | weaklei | No / 99.8¢ | +338.71 | $338 | |
| 5mo | weaklei | No / 99.8¢ | +26.06 | $26 | |
| 5mo | 0xdb8aED66299346dbb89d7cC3d5Eb54A2e2a00Ca8-1767797209895 | No / 99.8¢ | -26.06 | $26 | |
| 5mo | weaklei | No / 99.8¢ | +1.20 | $1.2 | |
| 5mo | 0xa344...5fbb29 | No / 99.8¢ | -1.20 | $1.2 | |
| 5mo | weaklei | No / 99.8¢ | +0.01 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 0x8112...e960ec | No / 99.8¢ | -0.01 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 0x9c98...933bab | No / 99.8¢ | -38.86 | $38.8 |
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