
Volume
$19,766
Txns
419
Traders
143
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$20,376
Ends
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - US x Iran permanent peace deal - Iran leadership change - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - US military action against Cuba - US confirms that aliens exist - Russia invades a NATO country Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
Trades
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Yes 100% · $3.75M volume
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
No 98% · $12.1M volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
No 100% · $34.7M volume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 93% · $39.4M volume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 71% · $20M volume
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
No 98% · $2.07M volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46m | santashrek81 | No / 23.0¢ | +12.16 | $2.8 | |
| 46m | 0x0952...54429a | Yes / 77.0¢ | +12.16 | $9.36 | |
| 58m | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 76.0¢ | +20.38 | $15.5 | |
| 58m | randombishop-staging | No / 24.0¢ | +20.38 | $4.89 | |
| 2h | santashrek81 | No / 23.0¢ | +17.26 | $3.97 | |
| 2h | doubtit | No / 23.0¢ | -17.26 | $3.97 | |
| 2h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 76.0¢ | +320.00 | $243 | |
| 2h | VPG | Yes / 76.0¢ | -320.00 | $243 | |
| 2h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 76.0¢ | +4.17 | $3.17 | |
| 2h | HartS | No / 24.0¢ | +4.17 | $1 | |
| 4h | santashrek81 | No / 23.0¢ | +400.00 | $92 | |
| 4h | Turtleiny | Yes / 77.0¢ | +400.00 | $308 | |
| 4h | santashrek81 | No / 23.0¢ | +90.91 | $20.9 | |
| 4h | Young123555 | Yes / 77.0¢ | +90.91 | $70 | |
| 5h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 76.0¢ | +1.29 | $0.98 | |
| 5h | Clemmerco | Yes / 76.0¢ | -1.29 | $0.98 | |
| 5h | santashrek81 | No / 23.0¢ | +1.30 | $0.3 | |
| 5h | Clemmerco | Yes / 77.0¢ | +1.30 | $1 | |
| 6h | santashrek81 | No / 23.0¢ | +12.50 | $2.88 | |
| 6h | Sniper4 | No / 23.0¢ | -12.50 | $2.88 | |
| 8h | santashrek81 | No / 23.0¢ | +1.30 | $0.3 | |
| 8h | Enrique | Yes / 77.0¢ | +1.30 | $1 | |
| 9h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 76.0¢ | +8.33 | $6.33 | |
| 9h | Yume-Hatsuyuki | No / 24.0¢ | +8.33 | $2 | |
| 9h | santashrek81 | No / 23.0¢ | +220.78 | $50.8 |
1–25