
Volume
$41K
Txns
1,410
Traders
249
Fees
$28
Liquidity
$9,280
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor. 2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect. A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
1–25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 94%$73Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
No 99%$11.2Mvolume
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
No 99%$1.49Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
No 97%$818Kvolume
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
No 89%$2.11Mvolume
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
No 99%$264Kvolume