
Volume
$16K
Txns
864
Traders
236
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 21, 2025
This market will resolve according to FiveThirtyEight's approval rating for Donald Trump on February 21, 2025. Note that the approval ratings for February 21 must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Trades
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 75%$0volume
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?
No 97%$0volume
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Yes 73%$0volume
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No 72%$0volume
Trump out as President by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
No 97%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | Slowroasted | No / 99.9¢ | +159.98 | $160 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | Geromi | Yes / 0.1¢ | +109.98 | $0.11 | |
| 1y | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +80.00 | $79.9 | |
| 1y | Geromi | Yes / 0.1¢ | +80.00 | $0.08 | |
| 1y | Geromi | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.02 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Nobody23041 | No / 99.8¢ | -8.74 | $8.72 | |
| 1y | influenz.eth | No / 99.9¢ | +68.76 | $68.7 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | cigarettes | No / 99.8¢ | +60.00 | $59.9 | |
| 1y | Nobody23041 | No / 99.8¢ | -60.00 | $59.9 | |
| 1y | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.7¢ | -142.86 | $1 | |
| 1y | vbaryshn | Yes / 0.7¢ | +142.86 | $1 | |
| 1y | Nobody23041 | No / 99.8¢ | -36.54 | $36.5 | |
| 1y | wokerjoesleeper | No / 99.8¢ | +36.54 | $36.5 | |
| 1y | Ahctam | Yes / 0.2¢ | -0.98 | $0 | |
| 1y | Nobody23041 | No / 99.8¢ | -0.98 | $0.98 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.2¢ | -93.74 | $0.19 | |
| 1y | Nobody23041 | No / 99.8¢ | -93.74 | $93.6 | |
| 1y | 11429y7etb | No / 99.1¢ | +63.14 | $62.6 | |
| 1y | mertyk | No / 99.2¢ | -73.14 | $72.5 | |
| 1y | moveme | No / 99.5¢ | +10.00 | $9.95 | |
| 1y | Bertapotamous | No / 99.9¢ | +106.00 | $106 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +56.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 |
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