
Volume
$3K
Txns
123
Traders
45
Fees
$6
Ends
Apr 24, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump wears a yellow tie at any point on April 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The color will be determined by the most visually dominant color visible in publicly available photos or videos. For example, for the tie to be considered predominantly blue, its primary color must be a shade of blue, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://i.ytimg.com/vi/20w7J2JAmqw/maxresdefault.jpg The following tie has no distinguishable predominant color, and thus would resolve to "No". https://www.usatoday.com/gcdn/authoring/authoring-images/2025/01/20/USAT/77837111007-xxx-dcmg-105-5190802.jpg If Donald Trump does not wear a tie or if no photos or video are released from the listed date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 74%$0volume
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Yes 85%$0volume
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No 74%$0volume
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?
Yes 65%$0volume
Trump out as President by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
No 98%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | -3.00 | $0 | |
| 3mo | Voltwist | No / 99.9¢ | -3.00 | $3 | |
| 3mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | -60.00 | $0.06 | |
| 3mo | Voltwist | No / 99.9¢ | -60.00 | $59.9 | |
| 3mo | threemikes | No / 99.9¢ | -5.29 | $5.28 | |
| 3mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.29 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | 0xRocket666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 3mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 3mo | claudio-oktopus | No / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 3mo | Porthos-The-Dawg | No / 99.9¢ | -15.00 | $15 | |
| 3mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 3mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 3mo | PredictionYogi | No / 99.9¢ | +584.97 | $584 | |
| 3mo | hai898711 | No / 99.7¢ | +20.00 | $19.9 | |
| 3mo | hjss | No / 99.7¢ | -20.00 | $19.9 | |
| 3mo | rocket661 | Yes / 1.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.05 | |
| 3mo | 0x26AA6eEC2CCF20f53Bd0C8810c11B8dF9e079d4d-1776735614449 | Yes / 1.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.05 | |
| 3mo | Michael5289 | No / 99.0¢ | +44.43 | $44 | |
| 3mo | stra-l11 | Yes / 1.0¢ | +29.45 | $0.29 | |
| 3mo | rocketcrypto | Yes / 1.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.05 | |
| 3mo | stra-l11 | Yes / 1.0¢ | +7.08 | $0.07 | |
| 3mo | Nandoneto | No / 99.0¢ | +7.08 | $7.01 | |
| 3mo | stra-l11 | Yes / 1.0¢ | +20.02 | $0.2 | |
| 3mo | claudio-oktopus | No / 99.0¢ | +20.01 | $19.8 | |
| 3mo | Porthos-The-Dawg | No / 99.0¢ | +15.00 | $14.9 |
1–25