
Volume
$21K
Txns
453
Traders
105
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or his administration takes a formal action or makes an official announcement directing the deployment of National Guard troops to the listed city by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying announcement or action will count, regardless of if/when the deployment actually occurs, or if the deployment is delayed, suspended, or subsequently blocked by judicial or other actions. Qualifying actions include but are not limited to: - A Presidential action (e.g., Executive Order, Presidential Memorandum) that directs or announces National Guard deployment to the listed city. - An official White House/DoD/National Guard Bureau press release, fact sheet, or order explicitly stating that National Guard troops will be deployed to the listed city. - A Secretary of Defense or NGB directive/order that calls up or assigns National Guard forces to the listed city, including under Title 32 (state control with federal funding) or Title 10 (federalized). - An official federal announcement that specific state Guard units (including the listed city National Guard or out-of-state Guard) are being sent to the listed city. Non-qualifying actions include: - Informal announcements/social media posts which do not constitute a formal policy announcement - Ambiguous remarks, “we’re considering it,” broad statements like “ready to go anywhere,” or contingent plans without a clear directive to the listed city. - Generic posture changes (e.g., standing up quick-reaction forces “nationwide”) that do not explicitly name the listed city as a deployment location. - A state-only activation by the listed city's state Governor without any official Trump administration action or announcement about sending the Guard to the listed city. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 88%$36.6Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$11.1Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 61%$29.6Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Yes 81%$12.7Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Yes 51%$8.18Mvolume
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
No 76%$1.93Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | ZhangMuZhi- | No / 99.9¢ | +4,311.73 | $4.31K | |
| 5mo | Polyfirefly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +41.29 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +152.91 | $0.31 | |
| 5mo | Kanp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +31.08 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +93.00 | $0.09 | |
| 5mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +50.97 | $0.1 | |
| 5mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +66.00 | $0.07 | |
| 5mo | Rlso | Yes / 0.1¢ | +41.61 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Oddinn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +33.23 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | Yukaii | Yes / 0.1¢ | +54.46 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +76.00 | $0.08 | |
| 5mo | Owwwnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +36.47 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Shipoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +35.85 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +524.00 | $0.52 | |
| 5mo | Snpe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +36.61 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +129.00 | $0.13 | |
| 5mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +126.00 | $0.13 | |
| 5mo | Pestle | Yes / 0.1¢ | +52.17 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | 0xe8d0E6f73B49Ef07078562dB4b12974EEf365542-1722338495689 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Anne666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | 4... | Yes / 0.1¢ | +11.50 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +90.00 | $0.09 | |
| 5mo | Blaorra | Yes / 0.1¢ | +48.78 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | 0xe8d0E6f73B49Ef07078562dB4b12974EEf365542-1722338495689 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.29 | $0.03 |
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