
Volume
$3K
Txns
140
Traders
42
Fees
$0
Ends
—
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Diwali Celebration on October 21, 2025, at 4 PM ET (see https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about the scheduled event titled "Diwali Celebration" on October 21, 2025, at 4 PM E(https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by October 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9mo | namespaceqq | No / 0.9¢ | +111.11 | $1 | |
| 9mo | PiratePig | Yes / 99.1¢ | +111.11 | $110 | |
| 9mo | davizi | Yes / 99.1¢ | -8.17 | $8.1 | |
| 9mo | PiratePig | Yes / 99.1¢ | +8.17 | $8.1 | |
| 9mo | PiratePig | Yes / 99.1¢ | +180.00 | $178 | |
| 9mo | Zodia | Yes / 99.1¢ | -180.00 | $178 | |
| 9mo | CitriniResearch | Yes / 99.9¢ | -30.00 | $30 | |
| 9mo | 0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +30.00 | $30 | |
| 9mo | Karim777 | No / 0.9¢ | +111.11 | $1 | |
| 9mo | PiratePig | Yes / 99.1¢ | +111.11 | $110 | |
| 9mo | No21 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -51.00 | $50.9 | |
| 9mo | OOv2MOOv2 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +51.00 | $50.9 | |
| 9mo | Yoxi0x | Yes / 99.0¢ | -61.83 | $61.2 | |
| 9mo | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.0¢ | +57.21 | $56.6 | |
| 9mo | ClownPagliacci | Yes / 99.0¢ | +4.62 | $4.57 | |
| 9mo | 0xD44Fe64428CfdD6Ef1f0f4E7B31FbEA71F694D77-1755558650686 | Yes / 99.0¢ | -15.38 | $15.2 | |
| 9mo | ClownPagliacci | Yes / 99.0¢ | +15.38 | $15.2 | |
| 9mo | CitriniResearch | Yes / 99.0¢ | +10.00 | $9.9 | |
| 9mo | BipBop | Yes / 99.0¢ | -10.00 | $9.9 | |
| 9mo | GreenYoshi | No / 1.0¢ | +20.00 | $0.2 | |
| 9mo | CitriniResearch | Yes / 99.0¢ | +20.00 | $19.8 | |
| 9mo | stompychan | No / 17.0¢ | +10.00 | $1.7 | |
| 9mo | BipBop | Yes / 83.0¢ | +10.00 | $8.3 | |
| 9mo | hryh | Yes / 39.0¢ | +18.36 | $7.16 | |
| 9mo | Snoopie | No / 61.0¢ | +18.36 | $11.2 |
1–25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 75%$0volume
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?
No 97%$0volume
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No 72%$0volume
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Yes 75%$0volume
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
No 98%$0volume
Trump out as President by July 31?
No 100%$0volume