
Volume
$6K
Txns
147
Traders
44
Fees
$0
Ends
—
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Diwali Celebration on October 21, 2025, at 4 PM ET (see https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about the scheduled event titled "Diwali Celebration" on October 21, 2025, at 4 PM E(https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by October 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events.
Trades
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 76%$0volume
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?
No 96%$0volume
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Yes 74%$0volume
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No 71%$0volume
Trump out as President by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
No 98%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9mo | PiratePig | Yes / 99.1¢ | +222.22 | $220 | |
| 9mo | namespaceqq | No / 0.9¢ | +222.22 | $2 | |
| 9mo | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.0¢ | +1.17 | $1.16 | |
| 9mo | 0xa3295565A4E432ad157c176Ae3E798E5970D6D41-1758232832838 | Yes / 99.0¢ | -1.17 | $1.16 | |
| 9mo | sterling67 | Yes / 99.0¢ | -41.55 | $41.1 | |
| 9mo | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.0¢ | +41.55 | $41.1 | |
| 9mo | MichaelJacksonn | No / 1.0¢ | +217.54 | $2.18 | |
| 9mo | relatedbeg | No / 1.0¢ | +1,750.00 | $17.5 | |
| 9mo | stompychan | No / 2.0¢ | +24.86 | $0.5 | |
| 9mo | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.0¢ | +1,832.46 | $1.81K | |
| 9mo | MichaelJacksonn | No / 1.0¢ | +82.46 | $0.82 | |
| 9mo | -1922- | Yes / 95.0¢ | -7.60 | $7.22 | |
| 9mo | 0xB29304109238401 | Yes / 98.8¢ | +250.00 | $247 | |
| 9mo | immaw | No / 5.0¢ | -12.40 | $0.62 | |
| 9mo | -1922- | Yes / 95.0¢ | -12.40 | $11.8 | |
| 9mo | 0xdbcd...1ff352 | Yes / 97.0¢ | +15.15 | $14.7 | |
| 9mo | GreenYoshi | Yes / 97.0¢ | -15.15 | $14.7 | |
| 9mo | MichaelJacksonn | Yes / 40.0¢ | +49.88 | $20 | |
| 9mo | ClownPagliacci | Yes / 40.0¢ | -49.88 | $20 | |
| 9mo | theGodFather101 | Yes / 40.0¢ | +10.00 | $4 | |
| 9mo | ClownPagliacci | Yes / 40.0¢ | -10.00 | $4 | |
| 9mo | ClownPagliacci | Yes / 50.0¢ | -10.00 | $5 | |
| 9mo | TheRealD | Yes / 50.0¢ | +10.00 | $5 | |
| 9mo | ClownPagliacci | Yes / 50.0¢ | -2.47 | $1.24 | |
| 9mo | stop.gambling | Yes / 50.0¢ | +2.47 | $1.24 |
1–25