
Volume
$2K
Txns
101
Traders
36
Fees
$0
Ends
—
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Diwali Celebration on October 21, 2025, at 4 PM ET (see https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about the scheduled event titled "Diwali Celebration" on October 21, 2025, at 4 PM E(https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by October 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9mo | namespaceqq | No / 0.9¢ | +222.22 | $2 | |
| 9mo | PiratePig | Yes / 99.1¢ | +222.22 | $220 | |
| 9mo | Allinnothing | Yes / 99.9¢ | +0.95 | $0.95 | |
| 9mo | CitriniResearch | Yes / 99.9¢ | -0.95 | $0.95 | |
| 9mo | CitriniResearch | Yes / 99.9¢ | -29.03 | $29 | |
| 9mo | CluelessEyes | Yes / 99.9¢ | +29.03 | $29 | |
| 9mo | CitriniResearch | Yes / 99.9¢ | -10.01 | $10 | |
| 9mo | CluelessEyes | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.01 | $10 | |
| 9mo | PiratePig | Yes / 99.1¢ | +31.06 | $30.8 | |
| 9mo | asfdtagsdg | Yes / 99.1¢ | -31.06 | $30.8 | |
| 9mo | MichaelJacksonn | Yes / 99.0¢ | +30.00 | $29.7 | |
| 9mo | -1922- | Yes / 99.0¢ | -30.00 | $29.7 | |
| 9mo | icemanxdegen | No / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1 | |
| 9mo | Do-Not-Redeem | Yes / 99.0¢ | +39.68 | $39.3 | |
| 9mo | MichaelJacksonn | Yes / 99.0¢ | +60.32 | $59.7 | |
| 9mo | BipBop | Yes / 99.0¢ | -0.32 | $0.32 | |
| 9mo | Do-Not-Redeem | Yes / 99.0¢ | +0.32 | $0.32 | |
| 9mo | CitriniResearch | Yes / 98.0¢ | +40.00 | $39.2 | |
| 9mo | stompychan | No / 3.0¢ | +20.00 | $0.6 | |
| 9mo | GreenYoshi | Yes / 99.0¢ | -20.00 | $19.8 | |
| 9mo | RichardTheTurd | Yes / 89.0¢ | -0.32 | $0.28 | |
| 9mo | BipBop | Yes / 89.0¢ | +0.32 | $0.28 | |
| 9mo | RichardTheTurd | Yes / 89.0¢ | -9.68 | $8.62 | |
| 9mo | 0xd8a4...c3333b | No / 11.0¢ | -9.68 | $1.06 | |
| 9mo | 88888888888888888 | Yes / 71.0¢ | +34.13 | $24.2 |
1–25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 76%$0volume
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?
No 96%$0volume
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Yes 66%$0volume
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No 71%$0volume
Trump out as President by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 2…
Yes 100%$0volume