
Volume
$52K
Txns
979
Traders
182
Fees
$0
Ends
Jul 1, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or his administration officially announces that the U.S. will be conducting military operations against Iran by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official policy announcements will qualify. Announcements that the U.S. will assist Israel in carrying out strikes, increase military aid, participate in air to air refueling operations, intelligence gathering or any other action which does constitute a direct kinetic military operations will not alone qualify. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 76%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 79%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 73%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No 92%$0volume
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | smoltrader | No / 0.1¢ | -123.81 | $0.12 | |
| 1y | Ordon | Yes / 99.9¢ | +41.22 | $41.2 | |
| 1y | 0xfb95A0b1A42777F76E2bC146CF33B808ad954D6C-1730723499568 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -365.03 | $365 | |
| 1y | Ordon | Yes / 99.9¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 1y | 0xf8b7...2114de | No / 0.1¢ | +41.57 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | Ordon | Yes / 99.9¢ | +461.57 | $461 | |
| 1y | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +420.00 | $0.42 | |
| 1y | 0xf8b7...2114de | No / 0.1¢ | +36.12 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | Jerry4242 | No / 0.1¢ | -36.12 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | Free2Bash | Yes / 99.7¢ | -10.00 | $9.97 | |
| 1y | Ordon | Yes / 99.7¢ | +10.00 | $9.97 | |
| 1y | Timjcar | Yes / 99.6¢ | -53.15 | $52.9 | |
| 1y | Dragontree | Yes / 99.6¢ | +53.15 | $52.9 | |
| 1y | random1984 | Yes / 99.6¢ | -22.45 | $22.4 | |
| 1y | Dragontree | Yes / 99.6¢ | +22.45 | $22.4 | |
| 1y | 0xf8b7...2114de | No / 0.1¢ | +1.31 | $0 | |
| 1y | Ancountless | No / 0.1¢ | -1.31 | $0 | |
| 1y | Dragontree | Yes / 99.6¢ | +12.86 | $12.8 | |
| 1y | 0x97eDBc129BacCFaffF0D1fD81A4a4b6295FAa9B4-1750495176222 | Yes / 99.6¢ | -12.86 | $12.8 | |
| 1y | Ordon | Yes / 99.9¢ | -33.26 | $33.2 | |
| 1y | imtiredb0ss | No / 0.1¢ | -39.21 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | Ordon | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.95 | $5.94 | |
| 1y | Pfifferling | No / 0.3¢ | +70.00 | $0.21 | |
| 1y | imtiredb0ss | No / 0.3¢ | -70.00 | $0.21 | |
| 1y | prometheustrader | Yes / 99.6¢ | -7.74 | $7.71 |
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