
Volume
$52K
Txns
979
Traders
182
Fees
$0
Ends
Jul 1, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or his administration officially announces that the U.S. will be conducting military operations against Iran by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official policy announcements will qualify. Announcements that the U.S. will assist Israel in carrying out strikes, increase military aid, participate in air to air refueling operations, intelligence gathering or any other action which does constitute a direct kinetic military operations will not alone qualify. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes 90%$62Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 95%$35.4Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Yes 100%$14.4Mvolume
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Yes 100%$4.43Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 72%$24.2Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Yes 100%$3.46Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11mo | smoltrader | No / 0.1¢ | -123.81 | $0.12 | |
| 11mo | Ordon | Yes / 99.9¢ | +41.22 | $41.2 | |
| 11mo | 0xfb95A0b1A42777F76E2bC146CF33B808ad954D6C-1730723499568 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -365.03 | $365 | |
| 11mo | Ordon | Yes / 99.9¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 11mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | No / 0.1¢ | +41.57 | $0.04 | |
| 11mo | Ordon | Yes / 99.9¢ | +461.57 | $461 | |
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +420.00 | $0.42 | |
| 11mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | No / 0.1¢ | +36.12 | $0.04 | |
| 11mo | Jerry4242 | No / 0.1¢ | -36.12 | $0.04 | |
| 11mo | Free2Bash | Yes / 99.7¢ | -10.00 | $9.97 | |
| 11mo | Ordon | Yes / 99.7¢ | +10.00 | $9.97 | |
| 11mo | Timjcar | Yes / 99.6¢ | -53.15 | $52.9 | |
| 11mo | Dragontree | Yes / 99.6¢ | +53.15 | $52.9 | |
| 11mo | random1984 | Yes / 99.6¢ | -22.45 | $22.4 | |
| 11mo | Dragontree | Yes / 99.6¢ | +22.45 | $22.4 | |
| 11mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | No / 0.1¢ | +1.31 | $0 | |
| 11mo | Ancountless | No / 0.1¢ | -1.31 | $0 | |
| 11mo | Dragontree | Yes / 99.6¢ | +12.86 | $12.8 | |
| 11mo | 0x97eDBc129BacCFaffF0D1fD81A4a4b6295FAa9B4-1750495176222 | Yes / 99.6¢ | -12.86 | $12.8 | |
| 11mo | Ordon | Yes / 99.9¢ | -33.26 | $33.2 | |
| 11mo | imtiredb0ss | No / 0.1¢ | -39.21 | $0.04 | |
| 11mo | Ordon | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.95 | $5.94 | |
| 11mo | Pfifferling | No / 0.3¢ | +70.00 | $0.21 | |
| 11mo | imtiredb0ss | No / 0.3¢ | -70.00 | $0.21 | |
| 11mo | prometheustrader | Yes / 99.6¢ | -7.74 | $7.71 |
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