
Volume
$2K
Txns
91
Traders
49
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$380
Ends
Jun 14, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces that the United States will sign a written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran in a specific location or on a specific date by June 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Qualifying statements must clearly and definitively state that the United States or an authorized official of the United States will sign a written agreement to which both the United States and Iran are parties, at a specified location and/or on a specified date. Qualifying statements must either identify a country or more specifically defined location in which the signing will take place, or the specific calendar date on which the specified signing will happen. Statements limited to a general location or timeframe not meeting this standard will not count. Non-definitive statements, including conditional, exploratory, or tentative statements do not count (e.g. "the signing will take place if Iran agrees" or "we might sign on June 13"). Statements that merely describe a signing without firmly scheduling a location or date will not qualify. Statements that announce a meeting without indicating that the signing of a written agreement will occur will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether an agreement is signed absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 78%$31.9Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$6.29Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 56%$27.9Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 99%$66.2Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 79%$21.1Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$6.09Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11m | asdssss | Yes / 35.0¢ | +8.00 | $2.8 | |
| 11m | arsenelupin | Yes / 35.0¢ | -8.00 | $2.8 | |
| 22m | arsenelupin | Yes / 31.0¢ | -24.66 | $7.64 | |
| 22m | vinii | No / 69.0¢ | -33.00 | $22.8 | |
| 22m | jamieduggan | No / 69.0¢ | +8.34 | $5.75 | |
| 57m | Relaccsed | Yes / 31.0¢ | +50.00 | $15.5 | |
| 57m | SloppyDonny | No / 69.0¢ | +50.00 | $34.5 | |
| 1h | PolyEGG | Yes / 26.0¢ | +5.04 | $1.31 | |
| 1h | SakuraDevil | No / 74.0¢ | +5.04 | $3.73 | |
| 1h | SakuraDevil | No / 73.0¢ | +10.00 | $7.3 | |
| 1h | zxcursed121 | Yes / 27.0¢ | +10.00 | $2.7 | |
| 1h | 0x99bc...784f35 | No / 76.0¢ | +12.52 | $9.52 | |
| 1h | Marco-Rubio | Yes / 24.0¢ | +12.52 | $3 | |
| 1h | SloppyDonny | No / 75.0¢ | +5.02 | $3.77 | |
| 1h | 3423488 | Yes / 25.0¢ | +12.52 | $3.13 | |
| 1h | jamieduggan | No / 75.0¢ | +7.50 | $5.63 | |
| 1h | 0xf528...127e5b | No / 76.0¢ | +6.00 | $4.56 | |
| 1h | winexecutescale | No / 76.0¢ | +18.00 | $13.7 | |
| 1h | 0x99bc...784f35 | No / 78.0¢ | +13.62 | $10.6 | |
| 1h | SloppyDonny | No / 75.0¢ | +44.97 | $33.7 | |
| 1h | 0x51dE66B7f3d10EceB99aaB57622cA850655e9E4A-1779581016815 | Yes / 24.2¢ | +82.59 | $20 | |
| 2h | 0x99bc...784f35 | No / 73.0¢ | +5.00 | $3.65 | |
| 2h | Xixihaha008 | No / 73.0¢ | -5.00 | $3.65 | |
| 2h | zxcursed121 | No / 53.0¢ | +10.00 | $5.3 | |
| 2h | PolyEGG | No / 69.0¢ | +5.03 | $3.47 |
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