
Volume
$3,108
Txns
81
Traders
26
Fees
$18
Liquidity
$11,545
Ends
Sep 16, 2026
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Trades
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
No 100% · $33.4M volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
No 95% · $3.4M volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No 84% · $4.29M volume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 97% · $1.58M volume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 96% · $3.04M volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 99% · $1.71M volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8m | Colala | No / 18.0¢ | +30.00 | $5.4 | |
| 8m | rocky42024 | No / 17.0¢ | +90.84 | $15.4 | |
| 8m | 0x5C249d896B66617595a39f4D0c64bf68dF65841A-1764405609326 | Yes / 83.3¢ | +119.98 | $100 | |
| 1h | TraderProMax | No / 22.0¢ | -5.00 | $1.1 | |
| 1h | wendywu1 | No / 22.0¢ | -40.45 | $8.9 | |
| 1h | crusader2 | No / 22.2¢ | +45.06 | $10 | |
| 2h | daroghi | No / 22.0¢ | -30.00 | $6.6 | |
| 2h | TraderProMax | No / 22.0¢ | -20.00 | $4.4 | |
| 2h | wendywu1 | No / 22.2¢ | +49.57 | $11 | |
| 4h | sssfff2 | Yes / 81.0¢ | -5.21 | $4.22 | |
| 4h | msrcap | Yes / 81.6¢ | +5.17 | $4.22 | |
| 6h | Colala | No / 22.0¢ | -24.80 | $5.46 | |
| 6h | TerranSupremacy | No / 22.0¢ | -6.66 | $1.47 | |
| 6h | aldynspeedruns | No / 22.2¢ | +31.19 | $6.92 | |
| 7h | Colala | No / 21.0¢ | -5.19 | $1.09 | |
| 7h | shiifoo | No / 21.2¢ | +5.15 | $1.09 | |
| 7h | sssfff2 | Yes / 77.0¢ | +5.22 | $4.02 | |
| 7h | SomethingOld | No / 23.2¢ | +5.17 | $1.2 | |
| 7h | dsosods | No / 21.0¢ | -11.11 | $2.33 | |
| 7h | SomethingOld | No / 21.2¢ | +11.02 | $2.33 | |
| 7h | TerranSupremacy | No / 17.0¢ | +13.33 | $2.27 | |
| 7h | Colala | No / 17.0¢ | +30.00 | $5.1 | |
| 7h | msrcap | Yes / 83.6¢ | +43.02 | $36 | |
| 7h | sssfff2 | Yes / 80.0¢ | -6.00 | $4.8 | |
| 7h | dsosods | No / 20.0¢ | +11.11 | $2.22 |
1–25