
Volume
$31K
Txns
571
Traders
132
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct vessels that Donald Trump, the U.S. government, or U.S. armed forces announce were struck by U.S. armed forces while designated as narco-terrorist targets between market creation and December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Any announcement made within this market's timeframe of a qualifying, previously unannounced strike will count, regardless of whether the strike occurred within this market's timeframe. A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from the US government or armed forces; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?
No 100%$0volume
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 92%$0volume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 84%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 95%$0volume
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
No 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | 0x2d52...6cbbe8 | No / 99.9¢ | +1.11 | $1.11 | |
| 6mo | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.11 | $0 | |
| 6mo | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,300.59 | $2.3 | |
| 6mo | bamesjond | No / 99.9¢ | +2,300.59 | $2.3K | |
| 6mo | R18helloworld | Yes / 0.4¢ | -9.15 | $0.04 | |
| 6mo | gdyhv | No / 99.5¢ | +146.92 | $146 | |
| 6mo | Sr.Pink | Yes / 0.5¢ | +210.98 | $1 | |
| 6mo | R18helloworld | Yes / 0.5¢ | -9.15 | $0.05 | |
| 6mo | Inthegamespain | Yes / 0.4¢ | -45.76 | $0.18 | |
| 6mo | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 0.1¢ | +325.65 | $0.33 | |
| 6mo | Dr.mett | No / 99.9¢ | +325.65 | $325 | |
| 6mo | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 0.1¢ | +855.00 | $0.85 | |
| 6mo | Ahpo | Yes / 0.1¢ | -855.00 | $0.85 | |
| 6mo | ACara | Yes / 0.2¢ | +61.78 | $0.12 | |
| 6mo | hgoni | No / 99.9¢ | +1,001.00 | $1000 | |
| 6mo | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 0.1¢ | +939.22 | $0.94 | |
| 6mo | Darkpsico- | Yes / 0.2¢ | -100.55 | $0.2 | |
| 6mo | ACara | Yes / 0.2¢ | +100.55 | $0.2 | |
| 6mo | Darkpsico- | Yes / 0.2¢ | -600.00 | $1.2 | |
| 6mo | ACara | Yes / 0.2¢ | +600.00 | $1.2 | |
| 6mo | Ahpo | Yes / 0.3¢ | +300.00 | $0.9 | |
| 6mo | Darkpsico- | Yes / 0.3¢ | -300.00 | $0.9 | |
| 6mo | ACara | Yes / 0.2¢ | +443.00 | $0.89 | |
| 6mo | Darkpsico- | Yes / 0.2¢ | -443.00 | $0.89 | |
| 6mo | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 0.1¢ | +66.18 | $0.07 |
1–25