
Volume
$232
Txns
17
Traders
11
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 4, 2025
This market will resolve according to the election or referendum won by Democrats with the highest margin of victory compared to the other listed events, all scheduled for November 4, 2025: - Virginia Governor election - Virginia House of Delegates election - New Jersey Governor election - New York City Mayor election - California referendum “Proposition 50” If the results of any of these elections are not confirmed by July 31, 2026, this market will be resolved according to the results published thus far. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official election authority sources conducting the election.
Trades
Nothing Ever Happens: July
Nothing 100%$0volume
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)…
No 56%$0volume
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Yes 72%$0volume
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
No 97%$0volume
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
No 99%$0volume
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep…
Yes 53%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9mo | Ziigmund | No / 87.0¢ | +50.00 | $43.5 | |
| 9mo | 0xdc3E831cad | No / 87.0¢ | -50.00 | $43.5 | |
| 9mo | 0x55FB2A63CCE492f7410A5a27E237aADd404c0aC1-1758413341250 | Yes / 17.5¢ | +57.22 | $10 | |
| 9mo | pootytherewardfarmer | No / 82.0¢ | +5.22 | $4.28 | |
| 9mo | AiBird | Yes / 18.0¢ | -22.00 | $3.96 | |
| 9mo | milize | Yes / 17.0¢ | -30.00 | $5.1 | |
| 9mo | 0xdc3E831cad | No / 87.0¢ | -5.00 | $4.35 | |
| 9mo | wokerjoesleeper | No / 87.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.35 | |
| 9mo | AiBird | Yes / 18.0¢ | +22.00 | $3.96 | |
| 9mo | milize | Yes / 18.0¢ | +30.00 | $5.4 | |
| 9mo | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 18.0¢ | +25.00 | $4.5 | |
| 9mo | 0xdc3E831cad | No / 82.0¢ | +77.00 | $63.1 | |
| 9mo | ImHereForTheRewards | Yes / 3.0¢ | +1.22 | $0.04 | |
| 9mo | elightf | No / 97.0¢ | +1.22 | $1.18 | |
| 9mo | TraderRebateCOM | Yes / 4.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.2 | |
| 9mo | taerv534 | No / 96.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.8 |
1–16