
Volume
$2K
Txns
186
Traders
53
Fees
$14
Liquidity
$3,365
Ends
Sep 16, 2026
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Trades
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 97%$33.1Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 54%$8.43Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No 99%$1.9Mvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 98%$4.02Mvolume
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 80%$5.86Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No 100%$1.65Mvolume
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