
Volume
$202K
Txns
2,241
Traders
348
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if U.S. government forces seize an Iran-linked oil tanker between market creation and February 28, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker” refers to the seizure of any oil ship which is described by a consensus of credible sources as Iranian, Iran-linked, or as directly and regularly involved in the transportation of Iranian oil. A tanker’s limited prior transportation of Iranian oil, without such a qualifying description, will not alone qualify. U.S. government forces refer to any active U.S. military (including U.S. Coast Guard), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors. Seizes refers to U.S. forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a U.S.-controlled port. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 84%$30.1Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 99%$5.93Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 59%$27.3Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 84%$20.9Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$5.98Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
No 53%$8.21Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 3mo | Nile1554 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | MrMelonHead | Yes / 99.9¢ | -213.68 | $213 | |
| 3mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +213.68 | $213 | |
| 3mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 3mo | 0x8aa691eA451cB21FF7AF9d3AcDB2c23eAc02568F-1771171929085 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,000.00 | $2K | |
| 3mo | Aleszn | No / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 3mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,000.00 | $2K | |
| 3mo | danial207 | No / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 3mo | IntuitionBro | No / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 3mo | Itsfurreal | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 3mo | HappyPants | No / 0.5¢ | +220.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | Mrfuture | Yes / 99.6¢ | +100.00 | $99.6 | |
| 3mo | IntuitionBro | No / 0.5¢ | -120.00 | $0.6 | |
| 3mo | 0xzipper | Yes / 99.6¢ | +70.00 | $69.7 | |
| 3mo | Itsfurreal | Yes / 99.5¢ | +30.00 | $29.9 | |
| 3mo | Mr-Krabs | No / 0.6¢ | -495.42 | $2.97 | |
| 3mo | Itsfurreal | Yes / 99.5¢ | +20.00 | $19.9 | |
| 3mo | IntuitionBro | No / 0.5¢ | -627.50 | $3.14 | |
| 3mo | IntuitionBro | No / 0.5¢ | -188.00 | $0.94 | |
| 3mo | 0xC60fC28c16eb73B663bc860871CA1D4A5EcB31ae-1760031962843 | No / 0.5¢ | +1,430.92 | $7.58 | |
| 3mo | Trustinghorse | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,500.00 | $1.5K | |
| 3mo | IntuitionBro | No / 0.1¢ | +1,500.00 | $1.5 | |
| 3mo | Trustinghorse | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,077.07 | $2.07K |
1–25