
Volume
$9K
Txns
411
Traders
93
Fees
$23
Ends
May 8, 2026
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for April 2026, scheduled to be released on May 8, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 93%$0volume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No 100%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No 94%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No 100%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 98%$0volume
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes 51%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | AgricultureSecretary | No / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 2mo | vesper-123 | No / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $49.9 | |
| 2mo | 0x70b8fD2FFCc64C02fe3d3B37995477b30DF0Ec6c-1772348971663 | No / 99.9¢ | -3.35 | $3.35 | |
| 2mo | AgricultureSecretary | No / 99.9¢ | +3.35 | $3.35 | |
| 2mo | Kulborg | Yes / 0.2¢ | +64.19 | $0.13 | |
| 2mo | wwder | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | Kulborg | Yes / 0.1¢ | +33.77 | $0.03 | |
| 2mo | Tryinggggg | Yes / 1.1¢ | +25.37 | $0.28 | |
| 2mo | betabeta | No / 99.9¢ | -65.44 | $65.4 | |
| 2mo | 0x716d...7870a8 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | Kulborg | Yes / 0.2¢ | +6.42 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | rocketcrypto | Yes / 1.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.05 | |
| 2mo | AgricultureSecretary | No / 99.7¢ | +219.19 | $219 | |
| 2mo | Tryinggggg | Yes / 1.1¢ | +44.63 | $0.49 | |
| 2mo | Novus0rdoSeclorum | No / 98.9¢ | +68.63 | $67.9 | |
| 2mo | Colala | Yes / 1.2¢ | +24.00 | $0.29 | |
| 2mo | MrAndMsClaude | No / 98.8¢ | +6.00 | $5.93 | |
| 2mo | Colala | Yes / 1.2¢ | +6.00 | $0.07 | |
| 2mo | Poiuztrewq | Yes / 7.5¢ | +100.00 | $7.85 | |
| 2mo | Semio12 | No / 92.5¢ | +100.00 | $92.5 | |
| 2mo | Poiuztrewq | Yes / 7.4¢ | +25.00 | $1.94 | |
| 2mo | rx8549o867549 | Yes / 7.4¢ | -25.00 | $1.85 | |
| 2mo | 0xC27fD0d525202eF9E9eC924460Dd4ff4B4e20Ee8-1773877105268 | No / 92.3¢ | -5.00 | $4.61 | |
| 2mo | rx8549o867549 | Yes / 7.4¢ | -5.00 | $0.37 | |
| 2mo | Haradwaith | No / 93.9¢ | -103.38 | $97.1 |
1–25