
Volume
$422
Txns
103
Traders
25
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$343
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | 0x8972EcB480932b4Bb09800E849Cda70951482283-1778386856671 | No / 87.6¢ | -5.00 | $4.38 | |
| 2d | RITB123 | No / 88.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.4 | |
| 6d | niglette | Yes / 15.0¢ | +6.71 | $1.01 | |
| 6d | RITB123 | No / 85.0¢ | +6.71 | $5.74 | |
| 15d | Gundamn | Yes / 43.0¢ | +2.33 | $1.02 | |
| 15d | peepeepooppoop | No / 57.0¢ | +2.33 | $1.33 | |
| 22d | AJSV | No / 62.0¢ | +2.63 | $1.63 | |
| 22d | 0x323B21fEA7710518D5CBFD29202f5E078433c8e6-1777354338281 | Yes / 38.0¢ | +2.63 | $1.02 | |
| 23d | TraderProMax | Yes / 16.0¢ | +25.00 | $4 | |
| 23d | RITB123 | No / 84.4¢ | +38.93 | $33 | |
| 23d | aliiz | No / 85.0¢ | -13.93 | $11.8 | |
| 1mo | niglette | Yes / 17.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.85 | |
| 1mo | 0x8972EcB480932b4Bb09800E849Cda70951482283-1778386856671 | No / 83.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.18 | |
| 1mo | PotatoTraders | No / 82.0¢ | +2.07 | $1.71 | |
| 1mo | peepeepooppoop | No / 82.0¢ | -1.68 | $1.38 | |
| 1mo | aliiz | No / 82.0¢ | -0.39 | $0.32 | |
| 1mo | PotatoTraders | No / 80.0¢ | +2.13 | $1.71 | |
| 1mo | Mojito9 | Yes / 20.0¢ | +2.13 | $0.42 | |
| 1mo | mskl | No / 82.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.13 | |
| 1mo | aliiz | No / 82.0¢ | -5.00 | $4.1 | |
| 1mo | aliiz | No / 82.0¢ | -8.54 | $7 | |
| 1mo | R18helloworld | Yes / 17.4¢ | -8.54 | $1.49 | |
| 1mo | mskl | No / 80.6¢ | +9.94 | $8.01 | |
| 1mo | Mojito9 | Yes / 19.0¢ | +1.34 | $0.25 | |
| 1mo | R18helloworld | Yes / 20.0¢ | +8.66 | $1.73 |
1–25
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Yes 59%$333Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
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Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100%$2.91Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 86%$1.9Mvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
No 61%$110Kvolume
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 97%$833Kvolume