
Volume
$30K
Txns
666
Traders
194
Fees
$19
Liquidity
$1,768
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Yes 78%$1.68Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
No 64%$1.42Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Yes 92%$1.52Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T
No 94%$2.53Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Yes 60%$932Kvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?
No 99%$676Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | No / 6.2¢ | +9.00 | $0.56 | |
| 2d | Kendelman | No / 6.0¢ | -9.00 | $0.54 | |
| 3d | RITB123 | No / 17.0¢ | +15.97 | $2.71 | |
| 3d | polsu02 | No / 16.4¢ | -15.97 | $2.62 | |
| 5d | aliiz | No / 15.0¢ | -5.00 | $0.75 | |
| 5d | RITB123 | No / 15.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.78 | |
| 5d | RITB123 | No / 14.7¢ | +55.00 | $8.37 | |
| 5d | TraderProMax | No / 14.6¢ | -25.00 | $3.65 | |
| 5d | Lavincey | Yes / 85.2¢ | +25.00 | $21.3 | |
| 5d | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | No / 14.9¢ | -5.00 | $0.74 | |
| 8d | 0x42f0...3e5101 | Yes / 93.9¢ | +2.13 | $2 | |
| 8d | AJSV | No / 6.1¢ | +2.13 | $0.13 | |
| 11d | HappySigma | No / 9.7¢ | -5.00 | $0.48 | |
| 11d | aliiz | No / 9.7¢ | +5.00 | $0.5 | |
| 14d | ansatz | No / 5.9¢ | -20.00 | $1.17 | |
| 14d | peepeepooppoop | No / 6.1¢ | +20.00 | $1.22 | |
| 14d | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | No / 5.6¢ | +1.63 | $0.09 | |
| 14d | 0xfb33...a92937 | No / 5.4¢ | -1.63 | $0.09 | |
| 15d | 0xbc1f...4657f0 | No / 5.8¢ | -12.66 | $0.73 | |
| 15d | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | No / 5.1¢ | +8.61 | $0.44 | |
| 15d | 656yertr | Yes / 92.0¢ | -4.05 | $3.73 | |
| 18d | mcdownload | No / 8.3¢ | -33.99 | $2.84 | |
| 18d | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | No / 8.7¢ | +20.00 | $1.74 | |
| 18d | peepeepooppoop | No / 8.6¢ | +13.99 | $1.2 | |
| 20d | peepeepooppoop | No / 20.0¢ | -15.00 | $3 |
1–25