
Volume
$129K
Txns
808
Traders
183
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade and/or tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and the listed country/entity between April 14, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only deals which are officially announced by both parties will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the listed country/entity, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Trades
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 85%$2.42Bvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
No 100%$6.97Mvolume
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 76%$902Mvolume
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
No 93%$24.6Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 96%$18.2Mvolume
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 66%$649Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11mo | arka.parka.leto | No / 99.5¢ | -7.93 | $7.89 | |
| 11mo | PutsOnPeace | No / 99.5¢ | +7.93 | $7.89 | |
| 11mo | PutsOnPeace | No / 99.3¢ | +56.00 | $55.6 | |
| 11mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.7¢ | +46.00 | $0.32 | |
| 11mo | smurfeta | No / 99.5¢ | -10.00 | $9.95 | |
| 11mo | 0x74a292 | No / 98.5¢ | +3.00 | $2.96 | |
| 11mo | smurfeta | No / 99.2¢ | +10.00 | $9.92 | |
| 11mo | ineedmoreiq | No / 99.3¢ | +22.00 | $21.8 | |
| 11mo | Qualitative | No / 98.7¢ | -100.00 | $98.7 | |
| 11mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 1.5¢ | -65.00 | $0.97 | |
| 11mo | arka.parka.leto | No / 99.8¢ | -6.01 | $6 | |
| 11mo | 81b9 | No / 99.8¢ | +6.01 | $6 | |
| 11mo | Euan | Yes / 0.1¢ | -44.65 | $0.04 | |
| 11mo | Geromi | Yes / 0.1¢ | +44.65 | $0.04 | |
| 11mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.00 | $0.03 | |
| 11mo | Geromi | Yes / 0.1¢ | +41.77 | $0.04 | |
| 11mo | Cassia920 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +24.00 | $0.05 | |
| 11mo | Robert6593 | No / 99.9¢ | +147.77 | $148 | |
| 11mo | 0x74a292 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 11mo | Oompa-Loompa | Yes / 0.3¢ | -7.04 | $0.02 | |
| 11mo | arka.parka.leto | No / 99.7¢ | -7.04 | $7.02 | |
| 11mo | arka.parka.leto | No / 99.0¢ | +12.95 | $12.8 | |
| 11mo | ineedmoreiq | No / 99.0¢ | -12.95 | $12.8 | |
| 11mo | Oompa-Loompa | Yes / 1.0¢ | -12.95 | $0.13 | |
| 11mo | arka.parka.leto | No / 99.0¢ | -12.95 | $12.8 |
1–25