
Volume
$153K
Txns
6,404
Traders
1,547
Fees
$0
Ends
Jul 3, 2025
This market will resolve based on the seasonally adjusted number of federal employees, as reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) under the "All Employees, Federal" series (CES9091000001), displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001) This market will resolve to “Yes” if the seasonally adjusted number of federal employees decreases by less than 25,000 between the December 2024 report and the June 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The difference will be calculated as the December 2024 value minus the June 2025 value. The December 2024 figure will be based on the initial December 2024 BLS Employment Situation report scheduled for release on January 3, 2025, and the initial June 2025 figure will be based on the report scheduled for release on July 3, 2025. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. The resolution source will be the BLS Employment Situation data, specifically the series CES9091000001, available at https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001 or the official BLS website.
Trades
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Yes 100%$863Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 99%$4.64Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
No 100%$762Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
No 100%$542Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
No 100%$215Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
Yes 63%$194Kvolume
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