
Volume
$932K
Txns
14,936
Traders
1,809
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike between February 28 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes 95%$65.3Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 97%$36.4Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Yes 100%$14.4Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$10.7Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 78%$24.7Mvolume
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Yes 100%$4.44Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | looppau | No / 99.9¢ | +21.50 | $21.5 | |
| 2mo | robo-jordo | No / 99.9¢ | -21.50 | $21.5 | |
| 2mo | dan-orx | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 2mo | looppau | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 2mo | looppau | No / 99.9¢ | +30.70 | $30.7 | |
| 2mo | 0x000C933dd1d358C2Ace34210DF6A4e525dFd2B72-1769677182480 | No / 99.9¢ | -35.71 | $35.7 | |
| 2mo | L.X | No / 99.9¢ | +5.01 | $5 | |
| 2mo | Mr-Krabs | No / 99.3¢ | +2.02 | $2.01 | |
| 2mo | joltrammer | No / 99.3¢ | -2.02 | $2.01 | |
| 2mo | Mr-Krabs | No / 99.3¢ | +30.94 | $30.7 | |
| 2mo | Legacy.crypto | No / 99.3¢ | -30.94 | $30.7 | |
| 2mo | nickthechopper | No / 99.5¢ | +10.00 | $9.95 | |
| 2mo | nickthechopper | No / 99.4¢ | +6.19 | $6.15 | |
| 2mo | clarity.noise | No / 99.5¢ | -16.19 | $16.1 | |
| 2mo | vistaborn | No / 99.6¢ | -10.00 | $9.96 | |
| 2mo | nickthechopper | No / 99.6¢ | +10.00 | $9.96 | |
| 2mo | Rex416 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3,620.13 | $3.62 | |
| 2mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +3,620.13 | $3.62K | |
| 2mo | Rex416 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +111.28 | $0.11 | |
| 2mo | Stashys | Yes / 0.1¢ | -111.28 | $0.11 | |
| 2mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +500.50 | $500 | |
| 2mo | Rex416 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +500.50 | $0.5 | |
| 2mo | MirLegend | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 2mo | proposal123 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 2mo | Rex416 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +221.91 | $0.22 |
1–25