
Volume
$710K
Txns
7,384
Traders
1,116
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 10, 2025
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings in 2025 (September 16-17, October 28-29, and December 9-10). A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm If no statement is released for the December meeting by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 100%$23.5Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$11.8Mvolume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 92%$1.81Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$6.93Mvolume
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Yes 100%$536Kvolume
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 79%$5.38Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | Superdagox | Yes / 99.9¢ | -26.31 | $26.3 | |
| 6mo | Sharky6999 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +26.31 | $26.3 | |
| 6mo | Sharky6999 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +13.15 | $13.1 | |
| 6mo | FlorecitaYo | Yes / 99.9¢ | -13.15 | $13.1 | |
| 6mo | PMMonitor | Yes / 99.9¢ | -7.91 | $7.9 | |
| 6mo | Sharky6999 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +7.91 | $7.9 | |
| 6mo | Haradwaith | No / 0.1¢ | -27.00 | $0.03 | |
| 6mo | Debosnys | Yes / 99.9¢ | +555.00 | $554 | |
| 6mo | lowlowlowto | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,281.70 | $1.28K | |
| 6mo | Sharky6999 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +399.58 | $399 | |
| 6mo | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.9¢ | +300.12 | $300 | |
| 6mo | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.40 | $1.4 | |
| 6mo | DerDenu | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1.40 | $1.4 | |
| 6mo | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.9¢ | +171.84 | $172 | |
| 6mo | S55 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -171.84 | $172 | |
| 6mo | AI.AGENT.2026 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -10.51 | $10.5 | |
| 6mo | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.51 | $10.5 | |
| 6mo | simmyy | Yes / 99.9¢ | -12.71 | $12.7 | |
| 6mo | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.9¢ | +12.71 | $12.7 | |
| 6mo | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.9¢ | +30.00 | $30 | |
| 6mo | oVyg7f | No / 0.1¢ | +30.00 | $0.03 | |
| 6mo | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.9¢ | +3,000.00 | $3K | |
| 6mo | EnzoFabi | No / 0.1¢ | +3,000.00 | $3 | |
| 6mo | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 6mo | k1tten | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 |
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