
Volume
$144K
Txns
1,573
Traders
331
Fees
$83
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the twelfth Starship-SuperHeavy test is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower during its landing attempt. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the booster without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process. This market pertains to the twelfth Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the twelfth Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the twelfth launch, and this market will stay open until the twelfth launch has occurred. If the twelfth launch has not occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 76%$0volume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
No 95%$0volume
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
No 53%$0volume
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
No 66%$0volume
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
No 70%$0volume
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
No 85%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | SweetChariot | No / 99.9¢ | -1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 1mo | NeoOracle | No / 99.9¢ | +4.00 | $4 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +996.00 | $995 | |
| 1mo | SweetChariot | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 1mo | yjqjqy | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1mo | 150Dao150000 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1mo | LinaBell | No / 99.9¢ | +400.00 | $400 | |
| 1mo | SweetChariot | No / 99.7¢ | -300.00 | $299 | |
| 1mo | Hull | No / 99.7¢ | +300.00 | $299 | |
| 1mo | Hull | No / 99.7¢ | +100.00 | $99.7 | |
| 1mo | SweetChariot | No / 99.7¢ | -100.00 | $99.7 | |
| 1mo | LeooLeeee | Yes / 0.2¢ | +1,400.00 | $2.8 | |
| 1mo | Mr957 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -1,400.00 | $2.69 | |
| 1mo | Hull | No / 99.8¢ | +216.00 | $216 | |
| 1mo | LeooLeeee | Yes / 0.2¢ | +216.00 | $0.43 | |
| 1mo | SweetChariot | No / 99.6¢ | -500.00 | $498 | |
| 1mo | 1walrus | No / 99.6¢ | +500.00 | $498 | |
| 1mo | 1walrus | No / 99.6¢ | +20.33 | $20.2 | |
| 1mo | Tinybot | No / 99.6¢ | -20.33 | $20.2 | |
| 1mo | 0x9c7a...8f3125 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -1,000.00 | $1.84 | |
| 1mo | LeooLeeee | Yes / 0.2¢ | +1,000.00 | $2 | |
| 1mo | LeooLeeee | Yes / 0.2¢ | +501.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.8¢ | +501.00 | $500 | |
| 1mo | suntori | Yes / 0.2¢ | -201.00 | $0.39 |
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