
Volume
$703K
Txns
2,225
Traders
418
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between February 24 and December 31, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.45Mvolume
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 69%$5.47Mvolume
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 98%$1.03Mvolume
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 94%$1.38Mvolume
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 100%$3.23Mvolume
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 100%$2.99Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | Skogeru | No / 99.9¢ | +14.00 | $14 | |
| 5mo | luuuur | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | power1337 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.70 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | power1337 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.21 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | power1337 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +11.65 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | power1337 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +9.76 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +138.00 | $0.14 | |
| 5mo | 0xe8d0E6f73B49Ef07078562dB4b12974EEf365542-1722338495689 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +530.00 | $0.53 | |
| 5mo | Pestle | Yes / 0.1¢ | +47.79 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | power1337 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.64 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +90.00 | $0.09 | |
| 5mo | Yukaii | Yes / 0.1¢ | +57.17 | $0.06 | |
| 5mo | power1337 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +9.51 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | wks118 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | power1337 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +9.47 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | power1337 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.96 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Shipoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +34.88 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | power1337 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.69 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Oddinn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +45.29 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +23.00 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | Kanp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +34.35 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | Polyfirefly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +39.29 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Rlso | Yes / 0.1¢ | +36.37 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +36.47 | $0.04 |
1–25