Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?
ActiveVolume
$4K
Txns
205
Traders
52
Fees
$2
Liquidity
$4,259
Ends
Volume
$4K
Txns
205
Traders
52
Fees
$2
Liquidity
$4,259
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Trades
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 81%$20.7Mvolume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$20.9Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Yes 52%$4.49Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.56Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes 82%$1.36Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$11Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10d | 25oodksmsss09 | Yes / 6.5¢ | -30.90 | $2.01 | |
| 10d | XAE12Archangel | No / 93.1¢ | -155.80 | $145 | |
| 10d | 25oodksmsss09 | Yes / 6.5¢ | -7.74 | $0.5 | |
| 10d | 25oodksmsss09 | Yes / 6.4¢ | -15.10 | $0.97 | |
| 10d | AdjunctBias | No / 93.4¢ | +102.06 | $95.3 | |
| 15d | TraderProMax | Yes / 5.0¢ | +25.00 | $1.25 | |
| 15d | tstkr | No / 96.0¢ | -11.00 | $10.6 | |
| 15d | ggwellplayista | No / 95.1¢ | -100.00 | $95.1 | |
| 15d | 25oodksmsss09 | Yes / 5.1¢ | +12.00 | $0.61 | |
| 15d | 0xE9C17bd27e3eddb0ddEB2DA292ca67F882EbE713-1766860236205 | Yes / 4.6¢ | -148.00 | $6.86 | |
| 18d | edmao | Yes / 4.9¢ | -71.85 | $3.51 | |
| 18d | 25oodksmsss09 | Yes / 5.0¢ | +12.95 | $0.65 | |
| 18d | PPMT | No / 94.8¢ | -30.00 | $28.4 | |
| 18d | 25oodksmsss09 | Yes / 5.1¢ | +28.90 | $1.47 | |
| 18d | kjaskdaskdadsd | No / 93.0¢ | +41.86 | $38.9 | |
| 18d | edmao | Yes / 7.0¢ | +71.86 | $5.23 | |
| 18d | PPMT | No / 93.1¢ | +30.00 | $27.9 | |
| 21d | third-eye | No / 94.8¢ | +23.30 | $22.1 | |
| 21d | PPMT | No / 94.8¢ | -23.30 | $22.1 | |
| 25d | BetterFish | No / 92.4¢ | +54.53 | $50.4 | |
| 25d | 25oodksmsss09 | Yes / 7.5¢ | -6.64 | $0.5 | |
| 25d | 0xbEFFB2418B31ad29527eF79Ae8f4bC6E118508E4-1773345861012 | Yes / 7.6¢ | +79.27 | $6.28 | |
| 25d | 25oodksmsss09 | Yes / 7.5¢ | -18.10 | $1.36 | |
| 1mo | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 6.3¢ | -6.63 | $0.42 | |
| 1mo | PPMT | No / 93.4¢ | -6.63 | $6.19 |
1–25