Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
ActiveVolume
$77K
Txns
909
Traders
150
Fees
$45
Liquidity
$2,477
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$77K
Txns
909
Traders
150
Fees
$45
Liquidity
$2,477
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$20.9Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 81%$20.1Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.33Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$10.9Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$6.64Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 57%$4.3Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10h | IamIsaacNewton | No / 68.0¢ | +1.47 | $1.02 | |
| 10h | AJSV | Yes / 32.0¢ | +1.47 | $0.47 | |
| 17h | 0xB16B00B5 | Yes / 30.5¢ | -88.00 | $26.8 | |
| 17h | AJSV | Yes / 32.0¢ | +50.00 | $16 | |
| 17h | planktonXD | Yes / 31.0¢ | +38.00 | $11.8 | |
| 1d | ng6000 | Yes / 44.0¢ | +15.92 | $7 | |
| 1d | AJSV | No / 56.0¢ | +15.92 | $9.11 | |
| 1d | ng6000 | Yes / 44.0¢ | +38.08 | $17.2 | |
| 1d | AJSV | No / 56.0¢ | +38.08 | $21.3 | |
| 1d | Raketa09 | No / 57.0¢ | +10.00 | $5.7 | |
| 1d | planktonXD | Yes / 44.0¢ | -42.00 | $18.5 | |
| 1d | ng6000 | Yes / 43.8¢ | +52.00 | $23.4 | |
| 1d | ourdemocracy2 | No / 72.7¢ | +142.00 | $105 | |
| 1d | 0xB16B00B5 | Yes / 27.0¢ | +100.00 | $27 | |
| 1d | planktonXD | Yes / 28.0¢ | +42.00 | $11.8 | |
| 1d | 0xC9aF414fC65a46dEb62AF26F75799bFAF53F91e5-1779763576505 | No / 51.8¢ | -2.95 | $1.53 | |
| 1d | AJSV | No / 53.0¢ | +2.95 | $1.56 | |
| 2d | yamauris | Yes / 48.0¢ | -2.08 | $1 | |
| 2d | vale.glez | Yes / 48.0¢ | +2.08 | $1.03 | |
| 4d | AJSV | Yes / 28.0¢ | +15.32 | $4.29 | |
| 4d | shukicarpenter | Yes / 27.0¢ | -22.00 | $5.94 | |
| 4d | kulic | No / 72.0¢ | -6.68 | $4.81 | |
| 4d | shukicarpenter | Yes / 45.0¢ | +22.00 | $10.2 | |
| 4d | AJSV | No / 55.0¢ | +22.00 | $12.1 | |
| 5d | AJSV | No / 53.0¢ | +0.55 | $0.29 |
1–25