Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?
ResolvedVolume
$570K
Txns
11,611
Traders
924
Fees
$24
Ends
Oct 31, 2026
Volume
$570K
Txns
11,611
Traders
924
Fees
$24
Ends
Oct 31, 2026
This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$20.2Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.3Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$10.8Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$6.61Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No 99%$790Kvolume
Fed rate hike in 2026?
No 52%$1.74Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29d | suntori | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5,000.00 | $5.2 | |
| 29d | Yelowyolo | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 29d | JustCrazy | Yes / 0.1¢ | -500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 29d | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 29d | JustCrazy | Yes / 0.1¢ | -200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 29d | debased | Yes / 0.1¢ | -731.90 | $0.73 | |
| 29d | Yelowyolo | Yes / 0.1¢ | -3,518.10 | $3.52 | |
| 29d | suntori | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5,000.00 | $5.2 | |
| 29d | suntori | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1.04 | |
| 29d | debased | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 29d | debased | Yes / 0.1¢ | -2,900.00 | $2.9 | |
| 29d | beggarrr | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,900.00 | $3.02 | |
| 1mo | debased | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | SHIKIMI05 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1.04 | |
| 1mo | debased | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | 0xd9357Bf59c99bCF8B17BD824DAC3e88aAEAdfd30-1778355412245 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1.04 | |
| 1mo | debased | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | 0xd6B993d7b38F7a5007c8822C816fb564b04D56b1-1778595200512 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1.04 | |
| 1mo | 0x5f1D88154384BaCFC95b207a87Bc32e3014f20aF-1778422484477 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1.04 | |
| 1mo | debased | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | debased | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | Acespace18 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1.04 | |
| 1mo | debased | Yes / 0.1¢ | -479.10 | $0.48 | |
| 1mo | Cassianlllll | No / 99.9¢ | -479.10 | $479 | |
| 1mo | debased | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 |
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