
Volume
$75K
Txns
1,236
Traders
287
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 31, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection between Zinenka vulytsia and Ternova vulytsia located in Velykomykhailivka by October 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. The intersection station will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Velykomykhailivka+intersection.jpeg Velykomykhailivka location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Velykomykhailivka.jpeg Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/P5wiqaewp3KVgKWu6 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9mo | 0xf03a...ee7a9a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 9mo | rwo | No / 99.9¢ | +2,302.92 | $2.3K | |
| 9mo | JPLP | No / 99.9¢ | -2,297.92 | $2.3K | |
| 9mo | Totenkopf | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 9mo | JPLP | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 9mo | JPLP | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 9mo | Burnmoneyuser | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 9mo | JPLP | No / 99.9¢ | -3.00 | $3 | |
| 9mo | CluelessEyes | No / 99.9¢ | +3.00 | $3 | |
| 9mo | MysticFalcon21592 | No / 99.9¢ | +1.52 | $1.52 | |
| 9mo | JPLP | No / 99.9¢ | -1.52 | $1.52 | |
| 9mo | saiche | No / 99.9¢ | +21.25 | $21.2 | |
| 9mo | JPLP | No / 99.9¢ | -21.25 | $21.2 | |
| 9mo | JPLP | No / 99.9¢ | -20.35 | $20.3 | |
| 9mo | luoweier | No / 99.9¢ | +20.35 | $20.3 | |
| 9mo | mengyi | No / 99.9¢ | +20.13 | $20.1 | |
| 9mo | JPLP | No / 99.9¢ | -20.13 | $20.1 | |
| 9mo | bodongzhe | No / 99.9¢ | +23.12 | $23.1 | |
| 9mo | JPLP | No / 99.9¢ | -23.12 | $23.1 | |
| 9mo | JPLP | No / 99.9¢ | -2.36 | $2.36 | |
| 9mo | 0x4A3D70B | No / 99.9¢ | +2.36 | $2.36 | |
| 9mo | Helmetedhornbill3592 | No / 99.9¢ | +4.22 | $4.22 | |
| 9mo | JPLP | No / 99.9¢ | -4.22 | $4.22 | |
| 9mo | Be8lla12 | No / 99.9¢ | +3.58 | $3.58 | |
| 9mo | JPLP | No / 99.9¢ | -3.58 | $3.58 |
1–25
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Yes 100%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 100%$0volume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 74%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No 94%$0volume
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 79%$0volume
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
No 100%$0volume