Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?
ActiveVolume
$33K
Txns
728
Traders
119
Fees
$48
Liquidity
$2,053
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$33K
Txns
728
Traders
119
Fees
$48
Liquidity
$2,053
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.16Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 85%$1.83Mvolume
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
No 82%$61Kvolume
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Yes 82%$53.2Kvolume
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 100%$639Kvolume
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100%$2.85Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8h | Writeoff | No / 84.0¢ | +25.00 | $21 | |
| 8h | CryptoGerm | Yes / 16.0¢ | +25.00 | $4.13 | |
| 9h | Writeoff | No / 83.5¢ | -56.81 | $47.4 | |
| 9h | ultralisk | No / 84.0¢ | +11.69 | $9.82 | |
| 9h | CryptoGerm | Yes / 16.0¢ | -45.12 | $7.22 | |
| 10h | 3L41N40 | No / 84.0¢ | +5.19 | $4.36 | |
| 10h | merz1305 | No / 83.5¢ | -62.00 | $51.7 | |
| 10h | Writeoff | No / 84.0¢ | +56.81 | $47.7 | |
| 19h | 13klklas | Yes / 16.0¢ | -6.44 | $1.03 | |
| 19h | GRodBets | Yes / 16.0¢ | +31.25 | $5.17 | |
| 19h | 3L41N40 | No / 84.0¢ | +24.81 | $20.8 | |
| 1d | GRodBets | Yes / 16.0¢ | -43.75 | $7 | |
| 1d | CryptoGerm | Yes / 16.0¢ | +43.75 | $7.24 | |
| 1d | GRodBets | Yes / 16.0¢ | -5.00 | $0.8 | |
| 1d | 0x8972EcB480932b4Bb09800E849Cda70951482283-1778386856671 | No / 83.5¢ | -5.00 | $4.17 | |
| 2d | CryptoGerm | Yes / 15.0¢ | +0.95 | $0.14 | |
| 2d | FFFF0857LP | Yes / 14.5¢ | -0.95 | $0.14 | |
| 8d | CryptoGerm | Yes / 15.0¢ | +0.42 | $0.06 | |
| 8d | 0x82Cd32de04C24eB6d2073f77d548c0850F78d7d8-1770420449124 | Yes / 14.5¢ | -0.42 | $0.06 | |
| 8d | GRodBets | Yes / 16.0¢ | -20.00 | $3.2 | |
| 8d | ViscaElBarca | No / 83.5¢ | -20.00 | $16.7 | |
| 9d | GRodBets | Yes / 16.0¢ | -8.26 | $1.32 | |
| 9d | CryptoGerm | Yes / 16.0¢ | -15.00 | $2.4 | |
| 9d | 3L41N40 | No / 83.5¢ | -23.26 | $19.4 | |
| 10d | Dr.PNL | No / 83.5¢ | -22.20 | $18.5 |
1–25