
Volume
$1,008
Txns
353
Traders
86
Fees
$2
Liquidity
$3,952
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | tja | No / 92.0¢ | +0.66 | $0.61 | |
| 4h | nani | No / 91.7¢ | -0.66 | $0.61 | |
| 9h | FFFF0857LP | No / 93.0¢ | -2.97 | $2.76 | |
| 9h | 1BTCis1BTC | Yes / 6.7¢ | -2.97 | $0.2 | |
| 10h | tja | No / 92.0¢ | +1.05 | $0.97 | |
| 10h | fddsf4353453 | No / 91.7¢ | -1.05 | $0.96 | |
| 10h | tja | No / 92.0¢ | +1.05 | $0.97 | |
| 10h | fghfh54654645 | No / 91.7¢ | -1.05 | $0.96 | |
| 10h | tja | No / 92.0¢ | +1.05 | $0.97 | |
| 10h | ewtyfghtret5446 | No / 91.7¢ | -1.05 | $0.96 | |
| 10h | tja | No / 92.0¢ | +1.05 | $0.97 | |
| 10h | ewrtret5446 | No / 91.7¢ | -1.05 | $0.96 | |
| 10h | tja | No / 92.0¢ | +1.05 | $0.97 | |
| 10h | dsaasdwe5435 | No / 91.7¢ | -1.05 | $0.96 | |
| 10h | tja | No / 92.0¢ | +1.05 | $0.97 | |
| 10h | edfhdfhtret5446 | No / 91.7¢ | -1.05 | $0.96 | |
| 10h | tja | No / 92.0¢ | +1.05 | $0.97 | |
| 10h | asdsa3242342342 | No / 91.7¢ | -1.05 | $0.96 | |
| 10h | tja | No / 92.0¢ | +1.05 | $0.97 | |
| 10h | dfgdf453534 | No / 91.7¢ | -1.05 | $0.96 | |
| 10h | tja | No / 92.0¢ | +1.05 | $0.97 | |
| 10h | ewdfhrtyrtyret5446 | No / 91.7¢ | -1.05 | $0.96 | |
| 10h | tja | No / 92.0¢ | +1.05 | $0.97 | |
| 10h | ehgsfhwset5446 | No / 91.7¢ | -1.05 | $0.96 | |
| 10h | nani | No / 94.0¢ | +0.66 | $0.62 |
1–25
Will Mistral have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
No 100% · $2.17K volume
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day?
No 100% · $67.5K volume
Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
No 95% · $4.6K volume
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?
Yes 80% · $17.7K volume
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
No 100% · $151K volume
Will Microsoft have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
No 100% · $2.47K volume