
Volume
$9K
Txns
73
Traders
25
Fees
$0
Ends
Nov 30, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system named in the title reaches the category designation specified at any point according to official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2025/). If this system dissipates without attaining the specified category, this market will resolve to "No". You can find definitional wind speeds for each category here: https://www.weather.gov/mfl/saffirsimpson This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" based on any initial advisory released by the NHC that the named tropical system has become a specified category of hurricane, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | No / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | Michael5289 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +14.00 | $14 | |
| 7mo | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +400.00 | $0.4 | |
| 7mo | Dr.mett | Yes / 99.9¢ | +400.00 | $400 | |
| 7mo | Michael5289 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +45.00 | $45 | |
| 7mo | 0x161f...28b075 | No / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +40.00 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | 0x161f...28b075 | No / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | No / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | thecaricature | No / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 7mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +153.00 | $0.15 | |
| 7mo | Michael5289 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,652.00 | $2.65K | |
| 7mo | chillsshack | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 7mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | No / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +400.00 | $0.4 | |
| 7mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +187.00 | $0.19 | |
| 7mo | 0x161f...28b075 | No / 0.1¢ | +6.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | No / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | Numitus1994 | No / 0.1¢ | +404.00 | $0.4 | |
| 7mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +156.00 | $0.16 | |
| 7mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | No / 0.1¢ | +71.00 | $0.07 | |
| 7mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | No / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +188.00 | $0.19 | |
| 7mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 7mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +153.00 | $0.15 |
1–25
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?
No 69%$3.14Kvolume
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?
Yes 49%$34.1Kvolume
Natural Disaster in 2026?
No 78%$212Kvolume
Category 5 hurricane hits US before election?
No 100%$120Kvolume
Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition
Yes 100%$68.5Kvolume
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in September 2025?
No 100%$145Kvolume