
Volume
$67K
Txns
643
Traders
148
Fees
$0
Ends
—
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Natanz Uranium Enrichment Facility, in Iran between the time of market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market. U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 84%$30.1Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 99%$5.95Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 58%$27.3Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 83%$20.9Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$5.98Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
No 53%$8.21Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | L.X | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.01 | $10 | |
| 3mo | huyewell | No / 0.1¢ | -2,222.00 | $2.22 | |
| 3mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +686.70 | $686 | |
| 3mo | ScottVan | No / 0.1¢ | -300.00 | $0.3 | |
| 3mo | AcctToBeRetired | Yes / 99.9¢ | -7,662.69 | $7.66K | |
| 3mo | Car | No / 0.1¢ | -4,443.98 | $4.44 | |
| 3mo | 15Mins | No / 0.2¢ | +500.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | huyewell | No / 0.1¢ | +2,222.00 | $2.22 | |
| 3mo | MyMoon | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 3mo | Huludubu | Yes / 99.8¢ | -649.00 | $648 | |
| 3mo | LetTheGoodTimesRoll | No / 0.2¢ | +15.00 | $0.03 | |
| 3mo | wendypeekaboo | No / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 3mo | YJQEatSmoke | No / 0.2¢ | +200.00 | $0.4 | |
| 3mo | AcctToBeRetired | Yes / 99.8¢ | +7,662.69 | $7.65K | |
| 3mo | 2B9S | No / 0.2¢ | +500.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | No / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | DOJ | Yes / 99.7¢ | -2,346.69 | $2.34K | |
| 3mo | 10KPnl | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | DOJ | Yes / 99.7¢ | -270.00 | $269 | |
| 3mo | Syaiu1542466 | Yes / 99.7¢ | +270.00 | $269 | |
| 3mo | DOJ | Yes / 99.7¢ | -100.37 | $100 | |
| 3mo | Elperroo | No / 0.3¢ | -100.37 | $0.3 | |
| 3mo | TylerTurden | Yes / 99.1¢ | +569.00 | $564 | |
| 3mo | duderr | Yes / 99.1¢ | -569.00 | $564 | |
| 3mo | joemamaligma-bot | No / 0.6¢ | +175.00 | $1.05 |
1–25