
Volume
$1M
Txns
14,003
Traders
1,697
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran officially announces a successor to Ali Khamenei as Supreme Leader by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of if/when the announced replacement actually becomes the next Supreme Leader, or otherwise assumes the highest government position of Iran. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Yes 100%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 100%$0volume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 76%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 80%$0volume
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 79%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No 93%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | onekey09 | No / 99.9¢ | +51.07 | $51 | |
| 4mo | RaptorVoid | No / 99.9¢ | -51.07 | $51 | |
| 4mo | onekey09 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 4mo | 0x2440dBdeE21e06C3f41C131A699BdaED78B3aE53-1772780457527 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | Rook111 | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 4mo | onekey09 | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 4mo | onekey09 | No / 99.9¢ | +21.59 | $21.6 | |
| 4mo | 0x5691...efc593 | No / 99.9¢ | -21.59 | $21.6 | |
| 4mo | pokopopo | No / 99.9¢ | -1,419.96 | $1.42K | |
| 4mo | onekey09 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,419.96 | $1.42K | |
| 4mo | onekey09 | No / 99.9¢ | +2.41 | $2.41 | |
| 4mo | 0x8a7adD14b47A64FFA4d1d35c5BE08dfe56536848-1772238878729 | No / 99.9¢ | -2.41 | $2.41 | |
| 4mo | Hdfbfg | No / 99.9¢ | -206.28 | $206 | |
| 4mo | onekey09 | No / 99.9¢ | +206.28 | $206 | |
| 4mo | onekey09 | No / 99.9¢ | +111.11 | $111 | |
| 4mo | mitsosn | No / 99.9¢ | -111.11 | $111 | |
| 4mo | onekey09 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,410.46 | $1.41K | |
| 4mo | ALNALA | No / 99.9¢ | -1,410.46 | $1.41K | |
| 4mo | onekey09 | No / 99.9¢ | +6.84 | $6.83 | |
| 4mo | asymptote | No / 99.9¢ | -6.84 | $6.83 | |
| 4mo | maxthethird3 | No / 99.9¢ | -14.08 | $14.1 | |
| 4mo | onekey09 | No / 99.9¢ | +14.08 | $14.1 | |
| 4mo | onekey09 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,909.54 | $1.91K | |
| 4mo | THETRUELEGEND | No / 99.9¢ | -1,909.54 | $1.91K | |
| 4mo | onekey09 | No / 99.9¢ | +25.61 | $25.6 |
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