
Volume
$2M
Txns
25,989
Traders
2,740
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran officially announces a successor to Ali Khamenei as Supreme Leader by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of if/when the announced replacement actually becomes the next Supreme Leader, or otherwise assumes the highest government position of Iran. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Yes 100%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 99%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 63%$0volume
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 76%$0volume
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?
Yes 100%$0volume
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