
Volume
$990K
Txns
10,646
Traders
1,437
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran officially announces a successor to Ali Khamenei as Supreme Leader by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of if/when the announced replacement actually becomes the next Supreme Leader, or otherwise assumes the highest government position of Iran. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 76%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 100%$0volume
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 79%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 80%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No 93%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | ddolsw123r | No / 99.9¢ | +53.00 | $52.9 | |
| 4mo | ddolsw123r | No / 99.9¢ | +47.00 | $47 | |
| 4mo | 0x7930...2b737f | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 4mo | ddolsw123r | No / 99.9¢ | +11.30 | $11.3 | |
| 4mo | 0x6AC405895A5fBeCdca22C17aBE654EaD99625939-1772651912974 | No / 99.9¢ | -11.30 | $11.3 | |
| 4mo | minuterepeater | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 4mo | ddolsw123r | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 4mo | ddolsw123r | No / 99.9¢ | +196.30 | $196 | |
| 4mo | fml123 | No / 99.9¢ | -333.00 | $333 | |
| 4mo | ddolsw123r | No / 99.9¢ | +136.70 | $137 | |
| 4mo | openHuman | No / 99.9¢ | -3.70 | $3.7 | |
| 4mo | ddolsw123r | No / 99.9¢ | +3.70 | $3.7 | |
| 4mo | IntingSinceDay1 | No / 99.8¢ | -100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 4mo | oa01msm.askfgla-alenfsenmznv | No / 99.8¢ | +100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 4mo | Shirshulia | No / 99.8¢ | -224.00 | $224 | |
| 4mo | oa01msm.askfgla-alenfsenmznv | No / 99.8¢ | +224.00 | $224 | |
| 4mo | oa01msm.askfgla-alenfsenmznv | No / 99.8¢ | +2,026.88 | $2.02K | |
| 4mo | RetoSchabloni | Yes / 0.2¢ | +2,973.13 | $5 | |
| 4mo | NinaIseri | No / 99.9¢ | +946.25 | $945 | |
| 4mo | NinaIseri | No / 99.9¢ | +18.75 | $18.7 | |
| 4mo | Generallyyy | No / 99.9¢ | -18.75 | $18.7 | |
| 4mo | NinaIseri | No / 99.9¢ | +35.00 | $35 | |
| 4mo | ISND | No / 99.9¢ | -35.00 | $35 | |
| 4mo | oa01msm.askfgla-alenfsenmznv | No / 99.8¢ | +24.00 | $24 | |
| 4mo | lighter.up | No / 99.8¢ | -24.00 | $24 |
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