
Volume
$111K
Txns
2,057
Traders
347
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran officially announces a successor to Ali Khamenei as Supreme Leader by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of if/when the announced replacement actually becomes the next Supreme Leader, or otherwise assumes the highest government position of Iran. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 76%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 100%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 81%$0volume
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 79%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No 93%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | thepolwinner | No / 0.1¢ | -15.38 | $0.02 | |
| 4mo | RBarbs-108 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -15.38 | $15.4 | |
| 4mo | Debosnys | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 4mo | 0x22Ca410f9d4730c3Ee2FeAd439a4ec1450251495-1768487085128 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | 0xB9c541Cc86FFC814D465E2BAc47a667594162576-1770894948604 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -110.88 | $111 | |
| 4mo | Debosnys | Yes / 99.9¢ | +110.88 | $111 | |
| 4mo | Debosnys | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2.47 | $2.47 | |
| 4mo | clippertea | Yes / 99.9¢ | -2.47 | $2.47 | |
| 4mo | Gluknak | Yes / 99.8¢ | -67.37 | $67.2 | |
| 4mo | MyMoon | No / 0.2¢ | -67.37 | $0.13 | |
| 4mo | dusty123 | Yes / 99.8¢ | -13.51 | $13.5 | |
| 4mo | MyMoon | No / 0.2¢ | -13.51 | $0.03 | |
| 4mo | MyMoon | No / 0.2¢ | -9.98 | $0.02 | |
| 4mo | slayking | Yes / 99.8¢ | -799.99 | $798 | |
| 4mo | 10KPnl | No / 0.2¢ | -790.01 | $1.58 | |
| 4mo | 10KPnl | No / 0.2¢ | -209.99 | $0.42 | |
| 4mo | finallywilldo | Yes / 99.8¢ | -209.99 | $210 | |
| 4mo | Debosnys | Yes / 99.6¢ | +77.75 | $77.4 | |
| 4mo | 0x3977Ceb2f7E16444dbcD0862225982fC45f7e660-1717283337388 | Yes / 99.5¢ | -95.28 | $94.8 | |
| 4mo | daroghi | Yes / 99.3¢ | +17.53 | $17.4 | |
| 4mo | 0xee1c...3e26ee | Yes / 99.7¢ | +5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 4mo | Slworf | Yes / 99.6¢ | -149.25 | $149 | |
| 4mo | Debosnys | Yes / 99.6¢ | +144.25 | $144 | |
| 4mo | 10KPnl | No / 0.1¢ | +37.90 | $0.04 | |
| 4mo | BeN | Yes / 99.9¢ | +37.90 | $37.9 |
1–25