
Volume
$167K
Txns
3,225
Traders
530
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran officially announces a successor to Ali Khamenei as Supreme Leader by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of if/when the announced replacement actually becomes the next Supreme Leader, or otherwise assumes the highest government position of Iran. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | RBarbs-108 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -17.25 | $17.2 | |
| 4mo | abhionpoly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +17.25 | $17.2 | |
| 4mo | abhionpoly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +619.13 | $619 | |
| 4mo | Benlazar | Yes / 99.9¢ | -619.13 | $619 | |
| 4mo | 0x22Ca410f9d4730c3Ee2FeAd439a4ec1450251495-1768487085128 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | abhionpoly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +599.93 | $599 | |
| 4mo | Debosnys | Yes / 99.9¢ | +400.07 | $400 | |
| 4mo | Debosnys | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.20 | $10.2 | |
| 4mo | 0xcC07984154b02BE0DFaA15B273B37a3220379ebb-1771879552536 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -10.20 | $10.2 | |
| 4mo | Debosnys | Yes / 99.9¢ | +8.06 | $8.05 | |
| 4mo | 0x0F9ab8179e57a143952745B10c3097c8d46ad33B-1772311987159 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -8.06 | $8.05 | |
| 4mo | as81119 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -787.55 | $787 | |
| 4mo | Debosnys | Yes / 99.9¢ | +787.55 | $787 | |
| 4mo | Debosnys | Yes / 99.9¢ | +16.12 | $16.1 | |
| 4mo | Handsome-Doc | Yes / 99.9¢ | -16.12 | $16.1 | |
| 4mo | 0xbbFADF634515dB55DB9c85FdA1431307FC08BEE0-1769466961942 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | Debosnys | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 4mo | Jackfred | Yes / 99.8¢ | +18.25 | $18.2 | |
| 4mo | terantoni | Yes / 99.8¢ | -50.01 | $49.9 | |
| 4mo | Coleama | Yes / 99.8¢ | +31.76 | $31.7 | |
| 4mo | Jackfred | Yes / 99.8¢ | +5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 4mo | 0xdbce...e6fccc | No / 0.2¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | 0x061bA5eA7113B4bD0Cc3d20dbe6622d2962F99F1-1772396450215 | Yes / 99.8¢ | -100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 4mo | Jackfred | Yes / 99.8¢ | +100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 4mo | BeneGesseritVoice | Yes / 99.9¢ | -222.00 | $222 |
1–25
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 77%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 100%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 80%$0volume
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 79%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No 93%$0volume