
Volume
$744K
Txns
8,288
Traders
1,220
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran officially announces a successor to Ali Khamenei as Supreme Leader by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of if/when the announced replacement actually becomes the next Supreme Leader, or otherwise assumes the highest government position of Iran. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | MrMelonHead | No / 99.9¢ | -242.66 | $242 | |
| 5mo | TylerTurden | No / 99.9¢ | +242.66 | $242 | |
| 5mo | TylerTurden | No / 99.9¢ | +215.18 | $215 | |
| 5mo | MrMelonHead | No / 99.9¢ | -215.18 | $215 | |
| 5mo | milize | Yes / 0.1¢ | -198.72 | $0.2 | |
| 5mo | LukeDelta | Yes / 0.2¢ | -400.64 | $0.8 | |
| 5mo | testokok | Yes / 0.2¢ | +599.36 | $1 | |
| 5mo | Chronicle | No / 99.9¢ | -0.25 | $0.25 | |
| 5mo | milize | Yes / 0.1¢ | -0.25 | $0 | |
| 5mo | milize | Yes / 0.1¢ | -3.99 | $0 | |
| 5mo | 0xed3FDfAB961F1963275F0a43D187dE9860DDbf74-1772011904981 | No / 99.9¢ | -3.99 | $3.99 | |
| 5mo | juliiaa | No / 99.9¢ | -125.25 | $125 | |
| 5mo | Chims | No / 99.9¢ | +125.25 | $125 | |
| 5mo | milize | Yes / 0.1¢ | +212.96 | $0.21 | |
| 5mo | 0x011b17E82886ea8e6b2b5f190f34588E37A396a6-1770666389060 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,500.00 | $1.5 | |
| 5mo | TronOG | No / 99.9¢ | -1,287.04 | $1.29K | |
| 5mo | TronOG | No / 99.9¢ | -14.78 | $14.8 | |
| 5mo | xuewowo | No / 99.9¢ | +14.78 | $14.8 | |
| 5mo | TronOG | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 5mo | TronOG | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 5mo | milize | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 0xe883...282f5b | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 5mo | 0x47f9...679dcf | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 5mo | TronOG | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 5mo | 0xe930...3a5ccc | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 |
1–25
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Yes 100%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 100%$0volume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 74%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 80%$0volume
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 79%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No 93%$0volume