
Volume
$8K
Txns
256
Traders
47
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 16, 2026
This is a market about the monthly variation in India’s overall unemployment rate (all-India/overall, persons aged 15 and above) as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI) in the monthly Periodic Labor Force Survey (PLFS). This market will resolve to “Up” if the Indian overall unemployment rate is higher in February than in the last published month. This market will resolve to “No Change” if the Indian unemployment rate is the same in February as it was in the last published month. This market will resolve to “Down” if the Indian Unemployment Rate is lower in February than in the last published month. The resolution sources for this market are the MoSPI Monthly Bulletins of the Periodic Labor Force Survey for the relevant months, released every month at https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases The next data release is scheduled for March 16, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data made after this release will not count toward this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1766406009096-ARCupdatedtill20November2025.pdf If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve to “No Change”.
Trades
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 81%$20.3Mvolume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$20.9Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 56%$4.37Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes 75%$1.3Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 100%$7.16Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.33Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | wendypeekaboo | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 2mo | jjzzh | No / 0.1¢ | +2.99 | $0 | |
| 2mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +102.99 | $103 | |
| 2mo | chairs | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2.00 | $2 | |
| 2mo | jjzzh | No / 0.1¢ | +2.00 | $0 | |
| 2mo | phca1056 | Yes / 84.0¢ | +0.36 | $0.3 | |
| 2mo | Proff.Snape | Yes / 84.0¢ | -0.36 | $0.3 | |
| 2mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.8¢ | +313.63 | $313 | |
| 2mo | Proff.Snape | Yes / 99.8¢ | -313.63 | $313 | |
| 2mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,945.57 | $1.94K | |
| 2mo | 0x4207c4f53b785c6dOd48512a497ebd845c29b81b | No / 0.1¢ | +1,945.57 | $1.95 | |
| 2mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +26.41 | $26.4 | |
| 2mo | human.bean | Yes / 99.9¢ | -26.41 | $26.4 | |
| 2mo | oVyg7f | No / 0.1¢ | +20.02 | $0.02 | |
| 2mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +20.02 | $20 | |
| 2mo | nryy | No / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 2mo | 0x2C45f2bE0c74bf01580A4b558bb26979D6e64790-1758033737214 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +23.00 | $23 | |
| 2mo | human.bean | Yes / 99.9¢ | -23.00 | $23 | |
| 2mo | oVyg7f | No / 1.0¢ | +8.03 | $0.08 | |
| 2mo | 0xzipper | Yes / 99.0¢ | +8.03 | $7.95 | |
| 2mo | 0xzipper | Yes / 99.0¢ | +8.36 | $8.28 | |
| 2mo | human.bean | Yes / 99.0¢ | -8.36 | $8.28 | |
| 2mo | 0xzipper | Yes / 99.0¢ | +30.62 | $30.3 | |
| 2mo | oVyg7f | No / 1.0¢ | +30.62 | $0.31 |
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