
Volume
$43
Txns
16
Traders
9
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$121
Ends
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between May 1 and May 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in May 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trades
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
No 100%$2.03Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 93%$29.3Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No 94%$13.7Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
No 100%$16.6Mvolume
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?
No 98%$400Kvolume
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
No 69%$177Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | empty-dog | Yes / 0.6¢ | +5.80 | $0.03 | |
| 2d | travelfitpl | Yes / 0.6¢ | -5.80 | $0.03 | |
| 3d | stra-l11 | No / 19.0¢ | +2.79 | $0.53 | |
| 3d | travelfitpl | Yes / 81.0¢ | +2.79 | $2.28 | |
| 4d | Mojito9 | No / 20.4¢ | +3.02 | $0.62 | |
| 4d | travelfitpl | Yes / 79.6¢ | +3.02 | $2.42 | |
| 6d | 0x63Bd19EC92d98B4CeBFB150DF81B629A67B4aFf2-1776698908434 | Yes / 7.0¢ | +10.00 | $0.73 | |
| 6d | Mojito9 | Yes / 7.0¢ | -10.00 | $0.7 | |
| 9d | 0x91ea...b6a6e5 | No / 99.1¢ | +1.01 | $1 | |
| 9d | empty-dog | Yes / 2.0¢ | +1.02 | $0.02 | |
| 10d | AJSV | Yes / 3.0¢ | +25.00 | $0.75 | |
| 10d | AJSV | Yes / 4.0¢ | +25.00 | $1 | |
| 10d | Mojito9 | Yes / 5.0¢ | +10.00 | $0.5 | |
| 10d | northdrawer | Yes / 3.6¢ | -60.00 | $2.14 | |
| 10d | smallreceipt | No / 97.1¢ | +29.96 | $29.1 | |
| 10d | AJSV | Yes / 3.0¢ | +30.00 | $0.9 |
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