
Volume
$71K
Txns
2,882
Traders
290
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 26, 2026
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from April 20, 2026, through April 26, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Trades
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes 55%$0volume
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-Ju…
No 96%$0volume
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
No 99%$0volume
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
No 99%$0volume
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
No 98%$0volume
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of H…
Yes 98%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | 0x963137a0BA0B02EBf6F37710023Cc1B0303289A1-1764031525036 | No / 99.9¢ | -4,150.59 | $4.15K | |
| 3mo | .ethguy | Yes / 0.1¢ | -4,150.59 | $4.15 | |
| 3mo | .ethguy | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | Camal | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | moneysaver1 | No / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 3mo | .ethguy | Yes / 0.1¢ | -218.96 | $0.22 | |
| 3mo | vozomnil | No / 99.9¢ | -108.96 | $109 | |
| 3mo | .Menthe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 3mo | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | LemonBrothers | No / 99.8¢ | -1,207.36 | $1.2K | |
| 3mo | .ethguy | Yes / 0.2¢ | -1,207.36 | $2.41 | |
| 3mo | LetTheGoodTimesRoll | No / 99.8¢ | -10.00 | $9.98 | |
| 3mo | LemonBrothers | No / 99.8¢ | -141.00 | $141 | |
| 3mo | balthazar | No / 99.8¢ | +151.00 | $151 | |
| 3mo | win-at-all-cost | No / 99.5¢ | +87.60 | $87.2 | |
| 3mo | 0xba2c...0f54d0 | Yes / 1.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.05 | |
| 3mo | balthazar | No / 99.6¢ | +150.89 | $150 | |
| 3mo | Camal | Yes / 0.5¢ | +112.40 | $0.56 | |
| 3mo | Camal | Yes / 0.5¢ | +87.60 | $0.44 | |
| 3mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 1.0¢ | -5.00 | $0.05 | |
| 3mo | LemonBrothers | No / 99.8¢ | -38.49 | $38.4 | |
| 3mo | cit500 | No / 61.1¢ | +0.71 | $0.43 | |
| 3mo | rocky42003 | Yes / 38.9¢ | -25.00 | $9.72 | |
| 3mo | Karesz1 | Yes / 38.9¢ | +25.71 | $10 | |
| 3mo | .ethguy | Yes / 1.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.15 |
1–25