
Volume
$60K
Txns
816
Traders
221
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 5, 2024
Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 5 in Butler, Pennsylvania (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-return-to-butler-pa). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk gives a speech at the rally, on October 5, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond October 5, this market will resolve to "No". A speech is defined as Musk speaking with a microphone on stage for 30 seconds or more. Simply attending the rally without delivering a speech will not count. The resolution source will be the video of the event.
Trades
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 75%$0volume
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?
No 97%$0volume
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Yes 72%$0volume
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No 71%$0volume
Trump out as President by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
No 98%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | hmmmmm-365 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +426.92 | $426 | |
| 1y | singa-585 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -426.92 | $426 | |
| 1y | goduszmogas | No / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | hmmmmm-365 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1y | hmmmmm-365 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2.00 | $2 | |
| 1y | Quantumbum | Yes / 99.9¢ | -2.00 | $2 | |
| 1y | hmmmmm-365 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +118.52 | $118 | |
| 1y | Republican-179 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -118.52 | $118 | |
| 1y | carp | Yes / 99.9¢ | -664.68 | $664 | |
| 1y | hmmmmm-365 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +664.68 | $664 | |
| 1y | carp | Yes / 99.9¢ | -574.38 | $574 | |
| 1y | JJJ777 | No / 0.1¢ | -574.38 | $0.57 | |
| 1y | BustedCungly | No / 0.5¢ | +20.21 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | Borgo | No / 0.5¢ | -20.21 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | BustedCungly | No / 0.3¢ | +400.00 | $1.2 | |
| 1y | bbman1214 | No / 0.3¢ | -400.00 | $1.2 | |
| 1y | chocolate123 | Yes / 98.0¢ | +200.00 | $196 | |
| 1y | New.Jeans | No / 2.0¢ | +200.00 | $4 | |
| 1y | New.Jeans | No / 5.0¢ | +45.04 | $2.25 | |
| 1y | chocolate123 | Yes / 95.0¢ | +45.04 | $42.8 | |
| 1y | Eridpnc | No / 5.0¢ | -154.96 | $7.75 | |
| 1y | New.Jeans | No / 5.0¢ | +154.96 | $7.75 | |
| 1y | hmmmmm-365 | Yes / 90.0¢ | -162.36 | $146 | |
| 1y | Rainiak | Yes / 90.1¢ | +172.36 | $155 | |
| 1y | securebet | No / 9.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.91 |
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