Will Claude Code Commits be less than 500.0k on June 30?
ActiveVolume
$732
Txns
66
Traders
28
Fees
$2
Liquidity
$1,300
Ends
Volume
$732
Txns
66
Traders
28
Fees
$2
Liquidity
$1,300
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve according to the 7-day average commits (7D Avg Commits) figure for the final date of the specified month. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding. This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered. This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13m | jijitmu | No / 92.0¢ | +435.00 | $401 | |
| 13m | TraderProMax | Yes / 8.0¢ | +25.00 | $2 | |
| 13m | Oklmntrader | Yes / 8.0¢ | +390.00 | $31.2 | |
| 13m | dropmeplease | Yes / 9.0¢ | +20.00 | $1.8 | |
| 9h | Numitus1994 | Yes / 14.0¢ | -10.00 | $1.4 | |
| 9h | 0xf528...127e5b | No / 85.5¢ | -10.00 | $8.55 | |
| 13h | 0xf528...127e5b | No / 82.0¢ | +10.00 | $8.2 | |
| 13h | allesklar | No / 81.9¢ | -20.00 | $16.4 | |
| 13h | Mojito9 | Yes / 17.0¢ | -10.00 | $1.7 | |
| 14h | Numitus1994 | Yes / 6.0¢ | +10.00 | $0.6 | |
| 14h | 0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060 | No / 94.0¢ | +10.00 | $9.42 | |
| 14h | dy912 | No / 94.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.71 | |
| 14h | Numitus1994 | Yes / 6.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.3 | |
| 14h | frozenriver | Yes / 5.0¢ | +8.90 | $0.45 | |
| 14h | 0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060 | No / 95.0¢ | +8.90 | $8.47 | |
| 14h | frozenriver | Yes / 5.0¢ | +30.00 | $1.5 | |
| 14h | graynotebook19 | No / 95.0¢ | +30.00 | $28.6 | |
| 14h | testewqrwr | Yes / 5.1¢ | -40.00 | $2.02 | |
| 14h | frozenriver | Yes / 5.0¢ | +30.00 | $1.5 | |
| 14h | Mojito9 | Yes / 6.0¢ | +10.00 | $0.6 | |
| 14h | testewqrwr | Yes / 9.0¢ | +20.00 | $1.87 | |
| 14h | allesklar | No / 91.0¢ | +20.00 | $18.2 | |
| 14h | testewqrwr | Yes / 9.0¢ | +20.00 | $1.87 | |
| 14h | dropmeplease | Yes / 9.0¢ | -20.00 | $1.8 | |
| 7d | predictdogepepewif | Yes / 10.0¢ | +1.25 | $0.13 |
1–25
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 93%$3.17Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 88%$1.84Mvolume
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 100%$641Kvolume
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100%$2.85Mvolume
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
No 98%$226Kvolume
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Yes 79%$56.7Kvolume