
Volume
$4K
Txns
156
Traders
46
Fees
$25
Liquidity
$7,359
Ends
Jun 15, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h | ultralisk | Yes / 86.0¢ | +14.29 | $12.3 | |
| 5h | 0x2C2DB76F7A74A2c0b64Dd97ad8e550acb4b739d5-1774991100278 | No / 14.0¢ | +14.29 | $2.07 | |
| 15h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 15.0¢ | -33.33 | $5 | |
| 15h | professorETH | No / 15.0¢ | +33.33 | $5.17 | |
| 16h | perepuk | Yes / 85.0¢ | +14.87 | $12.6 | |
| 16h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 15.0¢ | -5.13 | $0.77 | |
| 16h | nani | Yes / 84.7¢ | -25.00 | $21.2 | |
| 16h | l1nkus | Yes / 86.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.3 | |
| 16h | eeeeeeret | Yes / 84.5¢ | -5.13 | $4.33 | |
| 16h | perepuk | Yes / 85.0¢ | +5.13 | $4.36 | |
| 16h | perepuk | Yes / 86.0¢ | +20.00 | $17.2 | |
| 16h | nani | Yes / 86.0¢ | +25.00 | $21.5 | |
| 16h | TraderProMax | No / 14.0¢ | -21.29 | $2.98 | |
| 16h | eeeeeeret | Yes / 86.0¢ | +5.14 | $4.42 | |
| 16h | 0x5EEe6fD5bE08830F897a1770169F9F0dC92332E5-1762979515657 | No / 14.0¢ | +71.43 | $10.3 | |
| 19h | J25525 | Yes / 88.0¢ | -13.04 | $11.5 | |
| 19h | mybad100 | No / 11.6¢ | -13.04 | $1.51 | |
| 21h | ourobot | Yes / 86.5¢ | -20.00 | $17.3 | |
| 21h | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 87.0¢ | +20.00 | $17.4 | |
| 21h | ourobot | Yes / 89.0¢ | +20.00 | $17.8 | |
| 21h | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 87.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.35 | |
| 21h | nani | Yes / 88.2¢ | -25.00 | $22 | |
| 22h | Junedf5 | Yes / 87.0¢ | +22.50 | $19.6 | |
| 22h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 13.0¢ | -200.00 | $26 | |
| 22h | perepuk | Yes / 89.0¢ | +20.00 | $17.8 |
1–25
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
No 99%$714Kvolume
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100%$1.55Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Yes 92%$890Kvolume
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100%$1.63Mvolume
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?
Yes 98%$188Kvolume
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Yes 99%$449Kvolume