Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Exam?
ResolvedVolume
$6K
Txns
75
Traders
34
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
Volume
$6K
Txns
75
Traders
34
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | wendypeekaboo | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 2mo | gomes1 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.85 | $101 | |
| 2mo | wendypeekaboo | No / 0.1¢ | +0.85 | $0 | |
| 2mo | HiImDuReX | No / 0.2¢ | +852.71 | $1.71 | |
| 2mo | HiImDuReX | No / 0.2¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | myrtie-aliquamrerum | Yes / 99.8¢ | +5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 2mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.8¢ | +852.71 | $851 | |
| 2mo | wendypeekaboo | No / 0.1¢ | +99.15 | $0.1 | |
| 2mo | m0rt | No / 0.1¢ | +0.95 | $0 | |
| 2mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.10 | $100 | |
| 2mo | m0rt | No / 0.1¢ | +49.05 | $0.05 | |
| 2mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +49.05 | $49 | |
| 2mo | PandaAgain | No / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 2mo | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | No / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 2mo | iusedtowritepoetryforaliving | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4,020.00 | $4.02K | |
| 2mo | EnderingSpoon | No / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 2mo | ConstantineVIII | No / 0.2¢ | +9.80 | $0.02 | |
| 2mo | ConstantineVIII | No / 0.2¢ | +9.80 | $0.02 | |
| 2mo | ConstantineVIII | No / 0.2¢ | +9.80 | $0.02 | |
| 2mo | ConstantineVIII | No / 0.2¢ | +9.80 | $0.02 | |
| 2mo | iusedtowritepoetryforaliving | Yes / 99.8¢ | +39.20 | $39.1 | |
| 2mo | iusedtowritepoetryforaliving | Yes / 99.0¢ | +500.00 | $495 | |
| 2mo | Perypery | No / 1.0¢ | +500.00 | $5 | |
| 2mo | 0x844AC1AEe4dC203080e63e650E043A8aD8145f53-1765558169086 | Yes / 97.3¢ | +55.44 | $54 | |
| 2mo | S888 | No / 6.0¢ | +9.36 | $0.56 |
1–25
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