Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
ActiveVolume
$22K
Txns
1,099
Traders
215
Fees
$89
Liquidity
$1,070
Volume
$22K
Txns
1,099
Traders
215
Fees
$89
Liquidity
$1,070
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | BlackHans | Yes / 81.0¢ | +1.23 | $1.01 | |
| 1h | AJSV | No / 19.0¢ | +1.23 | $0.23 | |
| 8h | Puppymarket | No / 60.7¢ | -57.22 | $34.7 | |
| 8h | RustyScissors | Yes / 38.0¢ | -29.62 | $11.3 | |
| 8h | 50sad | Yes / 38.0¢ | -7.60 | $2.89 | |
| 8h | dropmeplease | Yes / 39.0¢ | -20.00 | $7.8 | |
| 10h | Puppymarket | No / 65.0¢ | -53.57 | $34.8 | |
| 10h | MiniElTigre | Yes / 34.1¢ | -53.57 | $18.3 | |
| 12h | bmtr | Yes / 23.0¢ | +2.28 | $0.52 | |
| 12h | RustyScissors | Yes / 27.0¢ | +9.42 | $2.54 | |
| 12h | AJSV | Yes / 28.0¢ | +50.00 | $14 | |
| 12h | Hakei. | No / 72.3¢ | +61.70 | $45.1 | |
| 12h | MiniElTigre | Yes / 28.0¢ | +53.57 | $15 | |
| 12h | 16r0ob | Yes / 31.0¢ | +14.50 | $4.5 | |
| 12h | Hakei. | No / 66.3¢ | +201.36 | $135 | |
| 12h | AJSV | Yes / 40.0¢ | +50.00 | $20 | |
| 12h | 50sad | Yes / 39.0¢ | +11.70 | $4.56 | |
| 12h | dodgerlive | No / 63.0¢ | -18.59 | $11.7 | |
| 12h | rayalen | Yes / 37.0¢ | +20.00 | $7.4 | |
| 12h | 16r0ob | Yes / 32.0¢ | +12.80 | $4.1 | |
| 12h | RustyScissors | Yes / 27.0¢ | +20.20 | $5.45 | |
| 18h | iliabouchouev | No / 17.4¢ | -2.74 | $0.48 | |
| 18h | okcoolstorybro | Yes / 82.0¢ | -2.74 | $2.25 | |
| 20h | snookiemookie | No / 18.4¢ | -6.84 | $1.26 | |
| 20h | 50sad | Yes / 81.0¢ | -6.84 | $5.54 |
1–25
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