
Volume
$39K
Txns
1,265
Traders
233
Fees
$100
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
No 97%$0volume
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Anthropic 90%$0volume
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO da…
No 100%$0volume
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close o…
No 99%$0volume
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?
No 96%$0volume
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close o…
No 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | thcdmz | Yes / 99.9¢ | +250.00 | $250 | |
| 1mo | real-hero-himmel | No / 0.1¢ | +250.00 | $0.25 | |
| 1mo | real-hero-himmel | No / 0.1¢ | +250.00 | $0.25 | |
| 1mo | Ben.Netanyahu | Yes / 99.9¢ | +250.00 | $250 | |
| 1mo | DeepDitch | No / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 1mo | 102cats | No / 0.2¢ | +318.28 | $0.64 | |
| 1mo | 102cats | No / 0.1¢ | +23.42 | $0.02 | |
| 1mo | The-Joker | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,861.70 | $2.86K | |
| 1mo | dropmeplease | No / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1mo | real-hero-himmel | No / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 1mo | 102cats | No / 0.2¢ | +70.00 | $0.14 | |
| 1mo | copim | No / 0.2¢ | -70.00 | $0.13 | |
| 1mo | RustyScissors | No / 5.5¢ | -9.99 | $0.55 | |
| 1mo | rayalen | Yes / 94.3¢ | -20.00 | $18.9 | |
| 1mo | 102cats | No / 5.4¢ | -10.01 | $0.54 | |
| 1mo | Astalavista123 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.01 | $10 | |
| 1mo | 102cats | No / 0.1¢ | +10.01 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | Hot-Skull | Yes / 91.0¢ | +11.11 | $10.1 | |
| 1mo | XXB | No / 9.0¢ | +11.11 | $1.04 | |
| 1mo | Gusarich | Yes / 95.0¢ | -353.25 | $336 | |
| 1mo | Colala | Yes / 94.9¢ | -33.10 | $31.4 | |
| 1mo | 0xc5729B61aCEB82737f0460f47d7C909ac2E666FD-1768714568614 | Yes / 95.0¢ | +386.35 | $368 | |
| 1mo | Gusarich | Yes / 95.0¢ | -1,025.96 | $975 | |
| 1mo | dropmeplease | No / 5.1¢ | +20.00 | $1.02 | |
| 1mo | Puppymarket | No / 5.2¢ | -1,865.96 | $96.9 |
1–25