
Volume
$100K
Txns
3,336
Traders
295
Fees
$2
Ends
May 17, 2026
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from May 11, 2026, through May 17, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Trades
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 93%$37.5Mvolume
Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?
No 100%$5.54Mvolume
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 89%$14.5Mvolume
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?
No 100%$2.55Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Yes 55%$10.2Mvolume
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30?
No 100%$639Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | Jaymaadurga | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | XuRi888 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 1mo | XuRi888 | No / 99.9¢ | +995.46 | $994 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | -1,015.46 | $1.01K | |
| 1mo | HerrieDavis | Yes / 0.1¢ | -20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1mo | XuRi888 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 1mo | magictracy | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | beggarrr | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,235.00 | $1.24 | |
| 1mo | taerv534 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,256.74 | $2.26 | |
| 1mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -92.22 | $92.1 | |
| 1mo | vozomnil | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 1mo | XuRi888 | No / 99.9¢ | +5,583.96 | $5.58K | |
| 1mo | i18z | No / 99.9¢ | +859.10 | $858 | |
| 1mo | taerv534 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +859.10 | $0.86 | |
| 1mo | cwc909 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +10.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1mo | taerv534 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +980.15 | $0.98 | |
| 1mo | i18z | No / 99.9¢ | +1,015.95 | $1.01K | |
| 1mo | funtrade67 | No / 99.8¢ | -25.80 | $25.7 | |
| 1mo | beggarrr | Yes / 0.3¢ | +289.63 | $0.87 | |
| 1mo | HorribleWork | No / 99.7¢ | +289.63 | $289 | |
| 1mo | balthazar | No / 99.7¢ | +15.01 | $15 | |
| 1mo | beggarrr | Yes / 0.3¢ | +15.01 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | BBL-Drizzy | No / 99.6¢ | -6.69 | $6.66 | |
| 1mo | HerrieDavis | Yes / 0.4¢ | -6.69 | $0.03 | |
| 1mo | BBL-Drizzy | Yes / 0.3¢ | -171.08 | $0.51 |
1–25