
Volume
$44K
Txns
1,504
Traders
295
Fees
$80
Liquidity
$15,599
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ursula von der Leyen ceases to be the President of the European Commission for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of von der Leyen's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Commission and the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d | bugagaopopop | No / 94.4¢ | +49.28 | $46.5 | |
| 5d | agagyu | No / 93.6¢ | -108.16 | $101 | |
| 5d | senyavow | No / 93.0¢ | +18.88 | $17.6 | |
| 5d | Haradwaith | No / 93.4¢ | +40.00 | $37.4 | |
| 5d | 16r0ob | Yes / 5.4¢ | -6.80 | $0.37 | |
| 5d | horowe4no | No / 94.5¢ | +53.00 | $50.1 | |
| 5d | agagyu | No / 94.3¢ | -59.80 | $56.4 | |
| 8d | tamasdb | No / 96.7¢ | +1.03 | $1 | |
| 8d | PPMT | Yes / 3.3¢ | +1.03 | $0.03 | |
| 10d | phildubuy | Yes / 3.0¢ | +1.03 | $0.03 | |
| 10d | 0x2a9d...094124 | No / 97.0¢ | +1.03 | $1.01 | |
| 10d | archaic | No / 94.4¢ | +56.59 | $53.4 | |
| 10d | 16r0ob | Yes / 5.5¢ | -24.20 | $1.33 | |
| 10d | 0xf63a...d7d769 | Yes / 5.6¢ | +80.79 | $4.69 | |
| 10d | 16r0ob | Yes / 5.3¢ | -9.04 | $0.48 | |
| 10d | 16r0ob | Yes / 5.2¢ | -5.42 | $0.28 | |
| 10d | kurkumaq | No / 94.5¢ | +13.75 | $13 | |
| 10d | 16r0ob | Yes / 5.4¢ | -6.86 | $0.37 | |
| 10d | marco-nyc-chef | No / 94.5¢ | +50.73 | $47.9 | |
| 10d | anonaaaaas | No / 94.6¢ | +49.48 | $46.8 | |
| 10d | PPMT | No / 94.7¢ | +30.10 | $28.5 | |
| 10d | agagyu | No / 94.4¢ | -170.42 | $161 | |
| 10d | 16r0ob | Yes / 5.5¢ | -5.04 | $0.28 | |
| 11d | 16r0ob | Yes / 5.3¢ | -9.04 | $0.48 | |
| 11d | mokao | No / 94.5¢ | -11.16 | $10.5 |
1–25
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
Yes 85%$0volume
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?
No 95%$0volume
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
No 99%$0volume
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?
Yes 85%$0volume
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?
No 89%$0volume
Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 202…
Yes 71%$0volume