
Volume
$744K
Txns
11,935
Traders
1,610
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market. U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Yes 100%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 61%$0volume
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
Yes 100%$0volume
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 92%$0volume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 77%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | -20.97 | $0.02 | |
| 3mo | randommandem404 | No / 99.9¢ | -20.97 | $20.9 | |
| 3mo | PolyFiWarrior | No / 99.9¢ | -30.00 | $30 | |
| 3mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | -30.00 | $0.03 | |
| 3mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.09 | $0 | |
| 3mo | 0x5c7e...bd5705 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.09 | $1.09 | |
| 3mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | -3.44 | $0 | |
| 3mo | 0x8b03...a390a7 | No / 99.9¢ | -3.44 | $3.44 | |
| 3mo | 0x53f336ED2189b37BCD69240517d56E9672a0a213-1765634156689 | No / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 3mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | -20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 3mo | futuristicbaguette | No / 99.9¢ | -26.47 | $26.4 | |
| 3mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | -26.47 | $0.03 | |
| 3mo | 0x25db6cA5935ae858A5c1F2dCD5c62939805328dE-1770665598557 | Yes / 1.0¢ | -12.44 | $0.12 | |
| 3mo | Tarak6f | No / 99.1¢ | -22.00 | $21.8 | |
| 3mo | tsel | Yes / 1.0¢ | -0.53 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | Ceciliak7 | No / 99.0¢ | -18.00 | $17.8 | |
| 3mo | f54940e77 | Yes / 0.9¢ | -5.03 | $0.05 | |
| 3mo | f54940e77 | Yes / 0.9¢ | -22.00 | $0.2 | |
| 3mo | Gaujmalietis | No / 99.7¢ | +3.00 | $2.99 | |
| 3mo | Gaujmalietis | No / 99.6¢ | +20.00 | $19.9 | |
| 3mo | f54940e77 | Yes / 0.9¢ | -14.32 | $0.13 | |
| 3mo | Gaujmalietis | No / 99.5¢ | +20.00 | $19.9 | |
| 3mo | 0x25db6cA5935ae858A5c1F2dCD5c62939805328dE-1770665598557 | Yes / 1.0¢ | -9.55 | $0.1 | |
| 3mo | Gaujmalietis | No / 99.4¢ | +20.00 | $19.9 | |
| 3mo | f54940e77 | Yes / 0.9¢ | -12.19 | $0.11 |
1–25