
Volume
$742K
Txns
11,926
Traders
1,609
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market. U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Yes 100%$15.7Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 82%$28.9Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Yes 100%$7.13Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 98%$4.41Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 58%$27.1Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 84%$20.8Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | -20.97 | $0.02 | |
| 2mo | randommandem404 | No / 99.9¢ | -20.97 | $20.9 | |
| 2mo | PolyFiWarrior | No / 99.9¢ | -30.00 | $30 | |
| 2mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | -30.00 | $0.03 | |
| 2mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.09 | $0 | |
| 2mo | 0x5c7e...bd5705 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.09 | $1.09 | |
| 2mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | -3.44 | $0 | |
| 2mo | 0x8b03...a390a7 | No / 99.9¢ | -3.44 | $3.44 | |
| 2mo | 0x53f336ED2189b37BCD69240517d56E9672a0a213-1765634156689 | No / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 2mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | -20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 2mo | futuristicbaguette | No / 99.9¢ | -26.47 | $26.4 | |
| 2mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | -26.47 | $0.03 | |
| 2mo | 0x25db6cA5935ae858A5c1F2dCD5c62939805328dE-1770665598557 | Yes / 1.0¢ | -12.44 | $0.12 | |
| 2mo | Tarak6f | No / 99.1¢ | -22.00 | $21.8 | |
| 2mo | tsel | Yes / 1.0¢ | -0.53 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | Ceciliak7 | No / 99.0¢ | -18.00 | $17.8 | |
| 2mo | f54940e77 | Yes / 0.9¢ | -5.03 | $0.05 | |
| 2mo | f54940e77 | Yes / 0.9¢ | -22.00 | $0.2 | |
| 2mo | Gaujmalietis | No / 99.7¢ | +3.00 | $2.99 | |
| 2mo | Gaujmalietis | No / 99.6¢ | +20.00 | $19.9 | |
| 2mo | f54940e77 | Yes / 0.9¢ | -14.32 | $0.13 | |
| 2mo | Gaujmalietis | No / 99.5¢ | +20.00 | $19.9 | |
| 2mo | 0x25db6cA5935ae858A5c1F2dCD5c62939805328dE-1770665598557 | Yes / 1.0¢ | -9.55 | $0.1 | |
| 2mo | Gaujmalietis | No / 99.4¢ | +20.00 | $19.9 | |
| 2mo | f54940e77 | Yes / 0.9¢ | -12.19 | $0.11 |
1–25